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  #11  
Old 04-26-2006, 08:49 PM
MikeyPatriot MikeyPatriot is offline
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Default Re: Value bet river?

I played the hand. After thinking about the hand more, I probably should have value bet the river. Villain showed a broken flush draw, so results-oriented thinking = he wasn't calling any bet anyway.

As for some of the other comments. Limping with any two on the button in an unraised pot with huge implied odds is a bad play? Also, I'm looking to hit two pair + so I don't see why I'm betting the flop here.
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  #12  
Old 04-26-2006, 08:50 PM
andre006 andre006 is offline
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Default Re: Value bet river?

[ QUOTE ]
This hand wasn't played by me, but I think limping in on an unraised pot on the button is fine with almost any two.

[/ QUOTE ]
no!
it's like crossing a highway with a paperbag on your head
----------> DANGEROUS!!!!!!!!
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  #13  
Old 04-26-2006, 09:07 PM
andre006 andre006 is offline
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Default Re: Value bet river?

[ QUOTE ]
As for some of the other comments. Limping with any two on the button in an unraised pot with huge implied odds is a bad play? Also, I'm looking to hit two pair + so I don't see why I'm betting the flop here.

[/ QUOTE ]
cause if you play a hand it's better to play it fully, you need 2 much help from the flop even with implied odds.implied odds suppose somebody will pay you off a lot.
in an unraised pot it's unlikely + if somebody go broke it could be you.
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  #14  
Old 04-27-2006, 03:58 AM
johnbeans johnbeans is offline
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Default Re: Value bet river?



[/ QUOTE ]
Quote:
cause if you play a hand it's better to play it fully, you need 2 much help from the flop even with implied odds.implied odds suppose somebody will pay you off a lot.
in an unraised pot it's unlikely + if somebody go broke it could be you.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think the purpose of limping in on the button is to hit a monster flop and stack somebody. Although that is a possibility. In general with an above average stack (where average is healthy) I think it's good to see a decent amount of flops cheaply and in position. Also, what do you mean by playing the hand fully?
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  #15  
Old 04-27-2006, 06:21 AM
andre006 andre006 is offline
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Default Re: Value bet river?

[ QUOTE ]


I don't think the purpose of limping in on the button is to hit a monster flop and stack somebody. Although that is a possibility. In general with an above average stack (where average is healthy) I think it's good to see a decent amount of flops cheaply and in position. Also, what do you mean by playing the hand fully?

[/ QUOTE ]
i mean if you play a hand and hit top pair with a flush on board and don't bet because you're afraid you might be beat the hand is not plaid "fully".
limping induce the fact you're postflop play is at least way above average, if it is excuse me for making the assumption that it is not
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  #16  
Old 04-27-2006, 06:25 AM
TightIsRight TightIsRight is offline
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Default Re: Value bet river?

When it gets to you on the River, just click "Fold." It's going to prompt you to "Check," but that's a donkey move that, quite frankly, no one on 2+2 would make. JUST FOLD IT AND MOVE ON.
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  #17  
Old 04-28-2006, 04:27 PM
Bolero Bolero is offline
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Default Re: Value bet river?

I'm with you. Kings up on this board, I'm betting.
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  #18  
Old 04-28-2006, 04:39 PM
2Fast 2Fast is offline
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Default Re: Value bet river?

don't limp with K5o - either raise or fold here IMO - I lean toward a raise to steal - guy obviously missed flush draw and I bet on river don't know why you wouldn't
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  #19  
Old 04-29-2006, 05:33 AM
johnbeans johnbeans is offline
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Default Re: Value bet river?

It seems people love to not fully read the OP, and make trivial posts that offer nothing to the thread. So let me reiterate: I was sweating a friend, witnessed this hand, called him out on what I thought was a misplay by not value betting, and then posted here to verify my thoughts on the hand. Now as far the flop play I think blindly betting into a multi-way pot just because we hit top pair and it's been checked to us with a flush draw present is far from ideal. Let's look at the different possibilities this multi-way pot offers.

a) It’s very likely somebody has flopped a flush draw
b) There is a fair chance somebody has an OESD (Q10)
c) There is a decent chance somebody has flopped two pair, a set, or TPTK/TPNK

I would say it's fairly unlikely that all three players have flopped air. So let's examine how our options (and I can really only think of two) on the flop and compare them to the different possibilities.

1) We make a 1/2 to PSB

- A PSB is going to give the flush/OESD 1-2 on their money & a 1/2 PSB is going to give them 1-3 on their money, insufficient odds to call for 1 card to come (they need about 5-1). However it's safe to say that we will still see these draws flat calling here a lot of the time regardless. I also think we see hands like TPTK/TPNK going into call down mode and just flat calling here a decent amount of the time as well. So on a checked brick turn we still don't know where we are. An ultimately worse situation for us would be getting check-raised. Hands like 66/JJ/JK/K6/J6 (both the SB & BB limped into this pot) are very likely to go for a C/R since it is a 4-way pot and it is probable that somebody will bet. Hands like QT and the flush draws are also likely to attempt a C/R here, and even worse some of the time we will see TPTK/TPNK C/R us. With this kind of range in a 4-way pot betting here seems to only be good when all of our opponents have flopped air or dry pairs J’s and below.

2) We check through

- Checking allows us to outdraw hands like J6 or stronger K’s. It gives hands like Q10, the flush draws, and the weaker pairs a free chance to outdraw us. However, a lot of these drawing hands were at least calling our flop bet anyways, so by checking we keep the pot small with our marginal holdings. There are definitely a lot of cards we don’t like seeing on the turn (any spade, T, Q, A, & 9), but it is unlikely anybody will abuse these scare cards unless they have indeed improved. If it is checked to us on a bricked turn we can now bet with much more confidence as we are dealing with a much smaller range of hands that we are worried about calling or C/Ring us. The strongest reasons for checking to me are that it keeps the pot small with a slightly above average stack, and it gives the drawing hands only 1 card to make their hand if they call our turn bet (since we’re only betting dry turns).

As far as the preflop play I think this is a classic chip accumulator/taking -ev shots and turning it into +EV scenario. We're trying to see lots of cheap flops in late position with an above average stack with pretty much ANY TWO CARDS.
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  #20  
Old 04-29-2006, 10:25 AM
stevepa stevepa is offline
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Default Re: Value bet river?

Preflop is pretty bad unless everyone is so straight forward that when it's checked to you, you can almost always win the pot with a bet. Though then I would argue raising is better to get rid of the blinds. I have nothing wrong with checking through the flop, I would often do the same. The turn is also fine, I usually bet a little less, but whatever. The river is sosososososo bad. What hands beat you?!?! Getting check-raised is fine, the guy probably has K2 most of the time he check-raises you. You're not often going to get called on the river but you're basically always ahead.

Oh, and this:

[ QUOTE ]
As far as the preflop play I think this is a classic chip accumulator/taking -ev shots and turning it into +EV scenario.

[/ QUOTE ]

No, that's not what it is at all. I thought your post was pretty good except for this part.

Steve
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