NL25 - easy fold??

[orig!naL]

[ QUOTE ]
if we estimate that we get 75% of his stack every time we flop the set

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I like what you did here, but I want to point out I really think this only applies in 3 and 4-bet pots. If you are calling a single pf raise with a pair and hit your set, its not accurate to assume on average you will get 75% of the persons stack (unless of course its some aggro calling station).

Back to the hand. I don't mind a fold to the 4-bet. It's a little unpredictable, but I doubt you are ahead here enough to make this +EV. As played, fold flop.