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Old 01-08-2007, 03:02 AM
unterfish unterfish is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Trolling Micros
Posts: 811
Default Re: AJ off - man i hate that hand.

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Gotcha. The 6s only count for half because we would then split with A3.


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Yes. You got me. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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Implied odds, we have position on him. If we catch and he bets, we are at least making one more bet. And, yeah, we're getting 3.5:1 on a calldown, if we call his river bet (if he makes one), which we don't have to if we don't improve (I think I've already said that, tho).


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So, I interpret this as a call/fold-situation on the river.
Lets do some more maths (and please correct me if Im wrong):
We have 6.5 outs meaning around 14% chance of winning. We are winning 8 BB if we hit (we agree that villain will bet the river), we are losing 1 if we dont (since we dont call unimproved).
So 14%*(8BB) - 86%*(1BB) = +0.26 BB.
So calling is +EV. Thanks, boz!
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