Combo draw 300bb deep

[Jinx]

[censored] just saw how deep you 2 were. just call teh flop.

[ddubois]

I'm 99.9% sure he doesn't have a set because the board is so low. I'm a 5:4 favorite over TT+ (w/ heart) and 3:2 over AhTh+/TT+ (w/ no heart) on the flop.

How much can I expect to extract when I hit which draws, from which hands? If a heart or 6 hits I probably won't be able to get much (anything?), unless he picks up a redraw to a better flush. If a 3 hits, that will be sweet and I might even get his whole stack, but only if he has AA/Ax -- if he has TT-KK it will suck. If he has overcards, say, AK, and a Kh turns, then just calling would seems genius; but if a Kd comes, it doesn't. My mind is really bogging down in all the different scenarios. I can't generate the tree of green +EV and red -EV branches.

Usually when I semi-bluff, I want people to fold, but with 17+ outs, I wonder if I it's more EV to shove and hope the ridiculous overbet induces AA to think "flush draw" and call. And if he folds, well, thats fine too, a free $166 in my pocket. As a supposed professional gambler, I'm supposed to be comfortable betting $1200 with a ~4:3 edge, aren't I?

[EC10]

uh? he NEVER calls a $1200 bet into a <$200 pot without a set unless hes unbelievably [censored] retarded.

shoving is the worst of all options imo.

anyway I raise bigger on the flop but as played it's fine.