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#1
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Villain is 31/19/infinity from 32 hands
Not really noticed anything out of the norm from villain but this all-in bet just didn't seem right but left me stumped as to what to do. Was my line correct up to the all-in? Is 3-betting PF with TT asking for trouble? I'll post results if I get a few replies and they are wanted. Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> MP ($29.70) CO ($24.90) Button ($25.05) SB ($27.25) Hero ($25.25) UTG ($34.65) Preflop: Hero is BB with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.10. <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB (poster) raises to $0.9</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.75</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $4.9</font>, Hero calls $2. Flop: ($10) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> SB calls $27.15 (All-In), Hero???? |
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#2
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I think this is close IMO. I always see these sort of villains getting ultra-frisky in blind battles but I'm not sure you have the ~40% equity you need.
If we narrow his range to overpairs and flush draws, say 50% of each, then you have ~32% equity. Thing is I just don't see villain openpushing with AA or KK etc that often and sometimes he might show up with whiffed overcards or 99, so i probably close my eyes and call. |
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#3
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Overpair vs. NFD vs. bluff
I'd say the latter two are more likely than the first but its a high variance call. I think its EV+ against preliminary indications on this villain so I would call. |
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#4
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31/19 for 32 hands tells you zero about how villain really plays, especially 3-bets.
This looks in all respects like a big pair. By 5/10 rule the final preflop call is very, very close. I think flop is a very easy fold. |
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#5
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[ QUOTE ]
31/19 for 32 hands tells you zero about how villain really plays, especially 3-bets. This looks in all respects like a big pair. By 5/10 rule the final preflop call is very, very close. I think flop is a very easy fold. [/ QUOTE ] As soon as I hit submit I said to much self "preliminary indications" are not really enough. We are about EV neutral with the NFD...I'll retract my bad comments and say not enough here for a call...and this overhasty response may explain my recent slew of bad calls though. |
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#6
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One of the best advices I've heard from a high stakes player was "I don't play for stacks with one pair unless i have a read."
If I only followed this more often... just fold. |
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