The 2008 Campaign has begun

[sam h]

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Vilsack, Feingold and Richardson are all between 2%-3% on Tradesports.

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I'm not entirely certain about this, since I'm not that old, but didn't Bill Clinton show similiar polling numbers prior to his election in 1992? Just food for thought.

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This is true but you have to adjust for two factors:

(1) Clinton had way more political talent than any of the longshots under discussion here. The guy was mesmerizing on the campaign trail, allowing him to not only rise from from obscurity but also to fight back after he got reamed by some sex scandal stuff even before the primaries started.

(2) The field was really open in 1992. Big name Dems steered clear because Bush looked unbeatable after the Gulf War. So when Bush started to tank, Clinton was fighting the likes of Paul Tsongas and Jerry Brown for the nomination.