Comm 40: KK vs Gabe and a donk

[Nate tha\\\' Great]

[ QUOTE ]
On the flop and the turn, if Shawn/Sean has AA, he's even money with most of Gabe's range, I think (I could be underestimating Gabe's range here).

[/ QUOTE ]

If Gabe's range is EXACTLY AA/KK/QQ/JJ, then AA is even money.

If Gabe also caps with AK, then AA is significantly ahead.

If Gabe does not cap with AK but also does not cap with JJ, then AA is significantly ahead.

Also there are three players in the hand so even if Shawn is even-money against Gabe's range he should probably want at least one more salvo of betting to take place, especially as he's out of position which lets Gabe play the turn almost perfectly.

[ QUOTE ]
I've never heard much about him giving excessive action, though, and I think putting in many more bets with AA is about as foolish as putting in many more bets with KK.

[/ QUOTE ]

They're actually not close, and the reason they're not close is precisely because Gabe's range is so narrow. It's almost like a situation from no limit where you'd never fold with KK in a million years and never call with QQ in a million years.

[ QUOTE ]
I don't think AA is necessarily worthy of being fully weighted here, but I think discounting it by any significant amount would be a fairly large error as it's a very reasonable holding for many players, even TAGs, given the board texture and reads they may have on Gabe.

[/ QUOTE ]

There are a lot more TAGs that will be overplaying KK here than will be underplaying AA. I don't think AA really enters into Gabe's mind on the river, and he may even be discounting KK somewhat.