Turn c/r bluff v.s. habitual floater

[cassette]

Villain is a decent tag that is very aggro from the CO + Bu and very defensive of his blinds. Loves to float and see what people do on the turn.

I having been playing TAG stealing a little less than normal because I don't like having this guy on my left.

On the turn I think Villain can only really call with a J or a FH. Is this a believable line?

No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
4 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $96
Button: $163.63
Hero: $117.75
BB: $125.75

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $4</font>, BB calls.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($8, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $6</font>, BB calls.

Turn: J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($20, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">BB bets $14</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $40</font>,