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#11
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The answer that I was looking for and the one that has general implications was that the gift that lost the head up contest could still easily be more likely to win in a five way contest. In other words many of the 40% would choose it first among five but not so for the 60% who chose the other gift. If I had told you that the losing gift was a Mickey Mantle, (I think) autographed baseball the answer would have been obvious.
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