The 2008 Campaign has begun

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On the Dem side I think Biden has a decent shot because he will "wear well" like Kerry did.

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I'm skeptical Biden will ever convince donors he's credible -- by "credible", I mean: "has a legitimate chance of winning".

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Edwards would surprise me because I don't think he will do well outside of the South.

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I think Edwards has a very good chance to be the "strategic primary voters should choose me, because my positions are closely aligned to Clinton's but I'm much more electable" guy who could mount the anti-Hillary movement. He should succeed where guys like Bayh fail, because Dem. voters (voters who are the most intensely partisan) may not want to temper their ideological/policy expectations by voting for a centrist merely for electability purposes when they could have both ideological/policy alignment and electability with Edwards.

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Richardson talks well so it wouldn't surprise me if he leaps out in front in Iowa/NH where he gets to go door to door. What I'm most confident about is that Hillary Clinton will almost definitely finish exactly 2nd.

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I won't rule Richardson out but I think he'd be behind Clinton, Edwards, and (if he decided to run) Obama if the primaries were held today.