Calling off all your chips with 99

[Jurollo]

[ QUOTE ]
Exactly, in the long run you are calling when you are about 50/50 I think you are going to have a better spot to take a chance with better odds and folding equity on your side.
~Justin

[/ QUOTE ]

With the lack of antes too you have an orbit with your stack staying the exact same. I hate calling into 50/50's (at best) for my tourney life, I would rather be the person putting someone else into that spot.

[Lloyd]

I would think a broader range in this spot. AK-A7, AA-66, 2 broadway. Against that 99 is a 55/45 favorite. Throw in some possibility of a smaller Ace, smaller pair, bluff and it's even more favorable. This is the perfect time to start picking up chips and I'd call.

[Ansky]

Passing on very clearly +cEV situations in this position in a huge tournament like this is ridiculous.

[Lloyd]

And this is one spot where I think Harrington's "zone theory" is very applicable. As your "M" goes into the orange and red zone you need to be MORE willing to call with hands like decent Aces and middle pairs. There's very little advantage to not gambling here as the payout structure is still fairly flat for quite awhile.

[adanthar]

I don't think it's all that +cEV. My read on those 'tight guy open shoves 11 BB' all ins tends to be something closer to AK-AJs, QQ-77. In addition, AA-QQ, AK and sometimes JJ overcall behind you.

I make this call from the BB all day but I think it's fairly close on the button.

[Ansky]

If it isn't cEV+ based on a tight range I obviously would advocate a fold.

I'm saying that for jurollo to advocate a fold given the range he assigned-- is pretty bad.

[davidross]

I'm pretty sure the call is right based on the range I'd put an average player on, but you still have to feel you need to take a coin flip at this stage.

THis is about as close as it gets.

[Jurollo]

I think this is borderline at best, it most definately isn't a 'clear call', the best point brought up in this thread is LLoyd reminding us that the payout remains flat for quite some time now, which may make me call here more often than not, however and argument could be made to waiting and attempting to get a better spot.
~Justin

[Jurollo]

[ QUOTE ]
If it isn't cEV+ based on a tight range I obviously would advocate a fold.

I'm saying that for jurollo to advocate a fold given the range he assigned-- is pretty bad.

[/ QUOTE ]
I didnt assign the range, I simply plugged Sam's in, my range would be tighter.
~Justin

[Lloyd]

Without factoring in the possibility you're up against a big hand in the blinds, you're getting 1.17 to 1 odds and need 46% equity to break even. A range of 77+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,AJo+,KQo would give you 48.6% equity.