Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I'm Doing It - Page 16

Evan Evans · #**151** 12-21-2006, 07:21 PM

[ QUOTE ]
i'm taking all bets that evan evans calculated his 150+ IQ from here

http://web.tickle.com/tests/uiq/index_main.jsp

[/ QUOTE ]I guess you lose. I was tested before the internet as most know it, was around. I also have taken those silly online ones, and get in the 160s.
Evan Evans

rvg72 · #**152** 12-21-2006, 07:39 PM

30.7998/Sqrt(126.07) = 2.743 * 1.96 = +/- 5.38 so there is a 95% chance your real winrate falls between 6.35 and 17.11.

I'm pretty sure that is correct,

rvg

Flintoff · #**153** 12-21-2006, 07:49 PM

I cant believe you guys are getting into all this detail about a guy with a 12000 hand sample. He's soooo levelling you...

Evan Evans · #**154** 12-21-2006, 07:51 PM

Well actually confidence and SD etc, play very well to shorter samples. You don't need them much when you have 500K hands cause the results are the results. And btw, this is very interesting to me. After all, I'm sitting on this winrate and am feeling pretty confident in it. I'm pulling in another 12PTBB/100 session as we speak.

Evan Evans

Big_Jim · #**155** 12-21-2006, 08:06 PM

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What he gave isn't even an equation.

[/ QUOTE ]
Uh... yes it is. What the heck would you call it?

rvg did the calculation right, although his work looks a bit weird.

Of course, remember that 12k hands isn't really enough to get a very random sample.

effinA · #**156** 12-21-2006, 10:03 PM

who is is guy
i thought this was joke thread!

Mercman572 · #**157** 12-21-2006, 10:25 PM

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this is the small stakes speerfisher thread

[/ QUOTE ]

What ever happened with that? He started losing and disappeared I imagine?

AbreuTime · #**158** 12-21-2006, 11:55 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Well actually confidence and SD etc, play very well to shorter samples. You don't need them much when you have 500K hands cause the results are the results. And btw, this is very interesting to me. After all, I'm sitting on this winrate and am feeling pretty confident in it. I'm pulling in another 12PTBB/100 session as we speak.
Evan Evans

[/ QUOTE ]

That's very prescient to know the winrate on a session before it has finished. He must see the coolers coming!

igetjokes · #**159** 12-22-2006, 01:57 AM

i've sustained a semi hard-on throughout most of this thread

what do i win?

ChexNFX · #**160** 12-22-2006, 02:06 AM

Absolutely no way in hell 13k hands is 90% accurate. By far, the dumbest thing you've come to say.