[Sluss]

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Favre is aging and starting to slip.


[/ QUOTE ]What do you base this on? Oh, nothing? Okay then.

[/ QUOTE ] Sorry about being consise.

I actually base this on watching Packers games. In the past few years Favre has had problems under distress throwing interceptions. He also has his most problems when pressure is in his face and he lost both of his guards. No matter how many times he talked about "strengthening his legs" this offseason he is going to be under a lot more pressure this year and be throwing on the run. Which he used to excel at, lately he has been poor.

Okay, that is my tape breakdown. How about some stats.

I think the best breakdowns is between their wins and losses:

In Packers wins last year Favre threw 20 TDs and just 7 INTs in Packers losses he threw 10 TDs and 11 INTs. I'm with most people in thinking the Packers will have more losses this year.

He has also thrown up a couple of games where he has scored less than 10 fantasy points. I'll give you some of the breakdowns of each year average from my oldest fantasy league with our scoring:

2004 - 17.25
2003 - 16.25
2002 - 18.25
2001 - 20.5
2000 - 16.25
1999 - 17.5
1998 - 19.5
1997 - 20.25
1996 - 22.25
1995 - 26

This shows that Favre has been a consistent fantasy preformer over the past few years, however is nowhere near the QB he was in the past. But, we all knew that.

This year Kerry Collins has to be a favorite to throw for 30 TDs. Mainly because his team has no defense (he'll be in high scoring games) and he has a great set of Wide Outs.

By the way, Collins averaged 19 points last year. Before that he basically averaged 15 points with the Giants, but certainly he was being asked to throw less.

By no means am I saying that Brett Favre is no longer a servicable fantasy QB. I just don't see how he can be worth a 4th round pick.