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-   -   200 6m: monster flop draw gone bad (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=155207)

effinA 07-06-2006 07:25 AM

200 6m: monster flop draw gone bad
 
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (5 handed) CP hand converter

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

<font color="#C00000">BB ($248.75)</font>
UTG ($156.52)
<font color="#C00000">MP ($0)</font>
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($213.75)</font>
SB ($293.73)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $8</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $6.

Flop: ($17) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $13</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $40</font>, BB calls $27.

Turn: ($97) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $65</font>, hero ???

villain is very nitty....16/8 or so......

whats a better line on the flop?

FishSticks 07-06-2006 08:27 AM

Re: 200 6m: monster flop draw gone bad
 
If the villain is super nitty, I tend to assume he has something when he leads out into the preflop raiser. As played I think you have to fold on the turn, as even if your draw gets there it will be pretty transparent and the board will be scary - I don't think a turn push gives you much FE with this action.

I suppose a flop call is okay, but I think your line gets you a free card on the turn or all in on the flop often enough so I wouldn't second guess yourself too much.

effinA 07-06-2006 09:27 AM

Re: 200 6m: monster flop draw gone bad
 
why a fold on the turn? im getting priced if he has aq/a6....even if he has a set or at and i hit on the river hes gonna payoff a small value bet....only kj has me in real trouble.....its a very small edge on the turn....i guess i should have just shoved it on the turn.....cause obv i have no fe on that turn....

XCEO 07-06-2006 10:40 AM

Re: 200 6m: monster flop draw gone bad
 
Even if you exclude hands like AA, KJo and KJs from his range you are behind on the turn, so why push if he doesn't fold?

Board: Ac Qc Td 6s
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 28.9474 % 28.95% 00.00% { KcTc }
Hand 2: 71.0526 % 71.05% 00.00% { QQ, TT, AQs, ATs, AQo, ATo }

JKratzer 07-06-2006 10:44 AM

Re: 200 6m: monster flop draw gone bad
 
is it spew if i always call this turn?

effinA 07-06-2006 10:49 AM

Re: 200 6m: monster flop draw gone bad
 
[ QUOTE ]
Even if you exclude hands like AA, KJo and KJs from his range you are behind on the turn, so why push if he doesn't fold?

Board: Ac Qc Td 6s
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 28.9474 % 28.95% 00.00% { KcTc }
Hand 2: 71.0526 % 71.05% 00.00% { QQ, TT, AQs, ATs, AQo, ATo }

[/ QUOTE ]

i wasnt talking about pushing...i know by his turn bet hes not folding....is a call outta the question

XCEO 07-06-2006 10:56 AM

Re: 200 6m: monster flop draw gone bad
 
oops, shove != push ? (I'm Dutch)

ArturiusX 07-06-2006 11:02 AM

Re: 200 6m: monster flop draw gone bad
 
[ QUOTE ]
oops, shove != push ? (I'm Dutch)

[/ QUOTE ]

Shove = push

luckychewy 07-06-2006 11:04 AM

Re: 200 6m: monster flop draw gone bad
 
[ QUOTE ]
is it spew if i always call this turn?

[/ QUOTE ]

depends on villain andif you think you have any implied odds

EDIT: your image also plays a pretty big role on occasion

jmc999 07-06-2006 11:04 AM

Re: 200 6m: monster flop draw gone bad
 
shove=push all in


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