Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

I figured out a system of play, after playing 3 million hands of poker and creating about 6 different strategy systems, that yields about 30BB/100 as a winrate at the low stakes levels (25c/50c - $1/2) NL.

Obviously I ain't spilling the beans on this, but I wonder if anyone else (who likely is also not willing to share their secret strategy), is able to sustain a winrate this high.

This is on a sample of 13400 hands, but I am an expert at this game and have played all stakes and varieties to the tune of millions of hands, and I know variance and I can honestly foresee a winrate of at least 16BB/100 sustaining to the 50K hand mark.

Can anyone top this?

Evan Evans

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

get a real samplesize, get pics of your stats, get a graph.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

I have all that. I'm not looking for people to believe me, and I might put up a graph soon enough for the nay sayers. For every 15 posters saying this is not possible, there might be one guy to step up and say, "Yeah, I've been doing that as well."

Evan Evans

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

I averaged about 20BB/hr in a .50/$1 home game with terrible opposition over the course of a full year. But against reasonable opposition, this is impossible. 16BB/100 is a pretty lofty goal. Good luck. If you're not going to present the system for discussion, though, doesn't this belong in BBV?

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
This is on a sample of 13400 hands, but I am an expert at this game and have played all stakes and varieties to the tune of millions of hands, and I know variance and I can honestly foresee a winrate of at least 16BB/100 sustaining to the 50K hand mark.

[/ QUOTE ] can anyone top a hypothetical prediction of a winrate after playing only 20% of said number of hands? sure i'll top you. i forsee a 200BB/100 winrate after 50,000 hands. ouch, beat you.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

What you're saying is kind of inconsistent...

First, you have a "secret system" that yields 30BB/100 as a sustainable winrate. In the next breath, you're "forseeing" a 16BB/100 winrate. The same with your sample sizes. One minute you've played several systems through millions of hands, suddenly it's only 13.4k hands.

This is a brag post for BBV, at best.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

guess the best way is to get a graph

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

It's gotta be true if he has a graph!

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

i bet his secret system involves folding KK preflop.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
This is on a sample of 13400 hands, but I am an expert at this game and have played all stakes and varieties to the tune of millions of hands, and I know variance and I can honestly foresee a winrate of at least 16BB/100 sustaining to the 50K hand mark.

[/ QUOTE ]
Calculate a 99% confidence interval for the winrate. k tnx

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

I'm pretty sure 15+ptbb/100 is easily attainable for a good player at 100-200nl. At Party anyway... I've sustained 10ptbb/100 over 70k hands 6-tabling and I suck at poker.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

yes i can top this.

one time at poker camp i learned a startggygyg that made me like $50 per hand at .0000001 .0000002 NL so i m lik teh beststy evar and ur not as good.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

wait i thought this was a gimmick-


oh noez! pokeer zeus! the reincarnate of johnny moss! plz coach me, plz, i'll pay you so many monies!


dikshit.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

what i find more impressive is that your last name is just like your first name except you added an S

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
what i find more impressive is that your last name is just like your first name except you added an S

[/ QUOTE ]

That's really funny, now that you mention it.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
I figured out a system of play

[/ QUOTE ]

You could probably stop reading here and realize how retarded this post is.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]


This is on a sample of 13400 hands, but I am an expert at this game

[/ QUOTE ]

lolzzz

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I figured out a system of play

[/ QUOTE ]

You could probably stop reading here and realize how retarded this post is.

[/ QUOTE ]

i should have taken this advice...not even sure y i bothered with the rest...

graph OP or elaborate on this "system"??

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
I have all that. I'm not looking for people to believe me, and I might put up a graph soon enough for the nay sayers. For every 15 posters saying this is not possible, there might be one guy to step up and say, "Yeah, I've been doing that as well."

Evan Evans

[/ QUOTE ]
Yeah, I've been doing that as well. No graphs or stats, though, since I'm at another computer.

My system involves overbetting my flush draws, slowplaying full houses, and generally trying to get bad players involved in big pots. And I table select like whoa. There are a few other secrets that are too valuable to reveal at this point in time.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
I figured out a system of play, after playing 3 million hands of poker and creating about 6 different strategy systems, that yields about 30BB/100 as a winrate at the low stakes levels (25c/50c - $1/2) NL

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

still playing $1NL after 3 million hands = BEAT!

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

i am intersted in learning mor e about your program

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

do you use winhold'em or have you written your bot from scratch?

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

How much to coach me?

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

what is ur address so i can Western Union my funds to ur partner?

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

EVAN EVANS

LAWL

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

I play 5000NL and I sustain a winrate of 20PTBB/100 over 200k hands but I'm not going to provide a graph.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
I play 5000NL and I sustain a winrate of 20PTBB/100 over 200k hands but I'm not going to provide a graph.

[/ QUOTE ]
Seriously? If you dont post a graph Im not guna believe you

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I play 5000NL and I sustain a winrate of 20PTBB/100 over 200k hands but I'm not going to provide a graph.

[/ QUOTE ]
Seriously? If you dont post a graph Im not guna believe you

[/ QUOTE ]

someone's getting leveled here...prolly me...

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

These brag posts are great, but anyone who is claiming to have higher than a 20PTBB/100 rate over time needs to back it up with graphs/data. That person is either insanely lucky in missing the variance bullets that come from time to time or
doesn't have enough hands (definitely the case for evanevans....13k hands?!??! Pfft.............please)

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

i have an a win rate of infinity.

i will not be providing a graph.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

You are all so naive!

I have sustained a 30BB/100 over the course of no less than 6000 hands.

And since it can go either way, I am now looking at 60BB/100 or 15BB/100.

So I have proven it IS possible to sustain at least 60BB/100.

Lolz pokernoobaments!

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

At $200 6max I have a losing streak of around 25bb/100 over 5k hands, If I can do it, anyone can

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

3M hands? Post that graph plz.

Let's just run some numbers here.... You play levels .25/.5 to 1/2. Let's assume your average comes to .5/1 levels over the 3M hands. That's 3,000,000/100 times 30 BB/100 times $2 (a BB at .5/1) equals $1,800,000.

Please show us this graph of your 1.8M. You would have this data since you are quoting your BB/100 rate. Even if you only played NL .5, this would be $900,000.

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
3M hands? Post that graph plz.

Let's just run some numbers here.... You play levels .25/.5 to 1/2. Let's assume your average comes to .5/1 levels over the 3M hands. That's 3,000,000/100 times 30 BB/100 times $2 (a BB at .5/1) equals $1,800,000.

Please show us this graph of your 1.8M. You would have this data since you are quoting your BB/100 rate. Even if you only played NL .5, this would be $900,000.

[/ QUOTE ]
i hate to defend OP here, but he said he's been winning 30BB/100 over his last 13k hands, not over all 3mil. reading is your friend

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

Where's eezspearfish or whoever?

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

OP, teach me.

i'm a net loser at NL10.

lifetime graph, sustainable winrate?


http://i44.photobucket.com/albums/f3...ntitled-39.jpg

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

http://img173.imageshack.us/img173/4217/orlyxb7.jpg

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
This is on a sample of 13400 hands, but I am an expert at this game and have played all stakes and varieties to the tune of millions of hands, and I know variance and I can honestly foresee a winrate of at least 16BB/100 sustaining to the 50K hand mark.

[/ QUOTE ]
Calculate a 99% confidence interval for the winrate. k tnx

[/ QUOTE ]

LMAO 99%? Being a bit unreasonable here?

Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
 

[ QUOTE ]
I'm not looking for people to believe me

[/ QUOTE ]
That's good, because you're a liar.