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-   -   AK unimproved river play (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=223110)

geormiet 09-28-2006 01:08 PM

AK unimproved river play
 
I raise AKo utg in a 6 handed online game. Folded to the sb who 3 bets, folded to me, I call.

SB is a very solid winning tag, on the aggressive side. Solid and for the most part straightforward.

Flop is T83 with 2 spades. He bets, I call. TUrn is offsuit Q. He checks, I check.

River is a low blank. He checks, I?

RunDownHouse 09-28-2006 01:15 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
I don't have experience in these games.

What is he c/c'ing here? AJ? really? It seems like a bet would have to come with the hopes of folding out a split, really, because I just don't see him folding a hand like 77 after previous action.

You're UTG and raised, so he should weight your hand to the better end of your range. Its hard for me to think of too many hands in that range that would flat callt he flop and check behind that turn that hadn't whiffed by the river. So his river check is thinking you've whiffed and wouldn't call one anyways?

EDIT: I'm putting his range as some decent PPs and broadway-type hands. Just about every hand in this range bets the flop. Those that check the turn are the lower PPS and the draws, with the rare A9s or something thrown in, right?

Scary_Tiger 09-28-2006 01:27 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
He's calling 77.

geormiet 09-28-2006 01:31 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
Wouldn't a tag player tend to bet fold 77 on the turn?

Scary_Tiger 09-28-2006 01:39 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
[ QUOTE ]
Wouldn't a tag player tend to bet fold 77 on the turn?

[/ QUOTE ]

I would c/c c/c for fear of AK, KJ, spades, tons of [censored] that bluffraises. If I thought you were a fish calling station, sure I'd bet it.

Victor 09-28-2006 01:56 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
i would bet against most. if hes a weakish 25/18 is only time i would check behind. im starting to encounter these types a lot at 10-20.

you gotta bet against the loose aggro wanna outplay me everyfuckintime 33/24 assclowns. bet and punish that punk for stepping to you with a weaker ace. bet bc they would never play a pair that way, as they would never check a pair on the turn (and proly not river unless you owned them recently.)

Victor 09-28-2006 01:58 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
wouldnt he value bet the river after you check the turn behind with a pair? i think you gotta bet this river vs everyone.

Scary_Tiger 09-28-2006 02:00 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
If I check 77 on the turn and he checks behind, no way I fire at a blank river.

geormiet 09-28-2006 02:03 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
[ QUOTE ]
wouldnt he value bet the river after you check the turn behind with a pair?

[/ QUOTE ]

RIght, exactly.

milesdyson 09-28-2006 02:11 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
[ QUOTE ]
If I check 77 on the turn and he checks behind, no way I fire at a blank river.

[/ QUOTE ]
yeah i dont get it either.

geormiet 09-28-2006 02:14 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If I check 77 on the turn and he checks behind, no way I fire at a blank river.

[/ QUOTE ]
yeah i dont get it either.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why not? it's a good play

Scary_Tiger 09-28-2006 02:23 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If I check 77 on the turn and he checks behind, no way I fire at a blank river.

[/ QUOTE ]
yeah i dont get it either.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why not? it's a good play

[/ QUOTE ]

Because Victor will bet AK and tilt.

milesdyson 09-28-2006 02:23 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If I check 77 on the turn and he checks behind, no way I fire at a blank river.

[/ QUOTE ]
yeah i dont get it either.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why not? it's a good play

[/ QUOTE ]
the board is T83Qx with a flush draw on the flop and you didnt cap preflop so he doesnt think you can have AK. so what is he hoping for on the river by betting 77? that you call AJ? 66?

Victor 09-28-2006 02:32 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
st you would NEVER check the turn or river here and i know it. you would likely call the river with kj. regardless, you dont fit this description "Solid and for the most part straightforward"

geormiet 09-28-2006 02:32 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
Yes.

When I check the turn, i've shown a lot of weakness. Let's say I have one of three holdings:

1) Marginal showdownable hand that is weaker than 77, like AK, AJ

2) WEak hand with no showdown value

3) Marginal showdownable hand that is stronger than 77.

Assuming I won't bluff if I have #2 (which I won't probably) he'd be correct to bet 77 against both 1 and 3 rather than check calling because i'm value betting #3

milesdyson 09-28-2006 02:39 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
geormiet

your category 1 is AK and AJ, but like i said why would he expect you to have AK?

also if you think he doesnt have 99 or 77 here (i just think he can), the river seems like an easy value bet because according to you he can only have AK or AJ.

The Funky Llama 09-28-2006 02:45 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
geormiet is right, thats a really easy bet with 77 if the turn goes check/check...hell, its an easy bet for 22.

The Funky Llama 09-28-2006 02:49 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
geormiet,

Do you think he would call with AJ here?

Can he have something like A9s? Would he call with it?

If you think he would pay off with those hands I think you have a clear value bet. Yes, its pretty thin, but if he is indeed quite solid there are not many hands he can have here.

FWIW, I think a solid player should be check/folding AJ here if he knows you are solid.

geormiet 09-28-2006 02:50 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
You can't just rule out AK because there was no cap pf. Maybe discount it slightly, but I routinely don't cap AK in spots like this against decent hand readers.

geormiet 09-28-2006 02:52 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
I think he'd call with AJ but I'm not sure. A9 i'm almost sure he'd fold. Not that the hand strength is any different, but that's how people play.

The Funky Llama 09-28-2006 02:56 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
ok... it all depends on how likely he is to call with AJ. If he's not likely to call with it I'd probably check because the chance he either has a scared pocket pair or is going for a checkraise outweighs the chance he'll pay you off with worse. If he'll cal with AJ a lot def bet. I love these spots!

geormiet 09-28-2006 03:00 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
BTW A9 or A9s is not in his range after the pf action.

milesdyson 09-28-2006 03:04 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
[ QUOTE ]
geormiet is right, thats a really easy bet with 77 if the turn goes check/check...hell, its an easy bet for 22.

[/ QUOTE ]
if you check, you think the guy is never bluffing because he knows you've taken a showdown line by checking the turn and then checking the river. so does he never bluff? or does he bluff because he knows you know you should never bluff?

also would you guys call with AJ no spade on this flop in this hand?

and if you have AJ or AK and this guy bets the river, do you call? really? you call there? seems crazy if his bet means that he's value betting (even if it is 77). you guys are clearly saying that he won't bet AK and AJ on the river, but that he will bet all these crappy pairs. so why would you call AJ or AK? so then why would he bet? i think it is very, very rarely a bluff when the turn goes check check and sb bets the river. i mean what can sb be bluffing here anyway? so then there's no value in his bet if the only hands we can have to call with are hands we wont call.

obviously it's a tangled web of bullshit but you see where im going. i mean, when does it become not a value bet and a check fold. if you think a solid player should check fold AJ on this river, why not do the same with 22 when they're nearly exactly the same?

Paluka 09-28-2006 03:06 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
I would check this river. The only hand that you beat that calls is AJ, right?

geormiet 09-28-2006 03:10 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
I routinely see A high and K high calldowns that look completely hopeless to me, even from this type of player . I would value bet 22 on the river against him all day in this siutation.

geormiet 09-28-2006 03:12 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
[ QUOTE ]
I would check this river. The only hand that you beat that calls is AJ, right?

[/ QUOTE ]

That was exactly what went through my mind in the hand. So I checked, and he had AJ. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Victor 09-28-2006 03:34 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
[ QUOTE ]
I would check this river. The only hand that you beat that calls is AJ, right?

[/ QUOTE ]

but thats exactly what it looks like he has.

The Funky Llama 09-28-2006 04:04 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
yea he has AJ here a lot

UMTerp 09-28-2006 04:28 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
If you bet here, it has to be for value. I can't imagine he's folding any pair. I'd check, and expect to lose most of the time.

milesdyson 09-28-2006 04:45 PM

no one answered
 
i'm revising the post with cards/suits and assuming villain bets the river.

I raise AKo utg in a 6 handed online game. Folded to the sb who 3 bets, folded to me, I call.

SB is a very solid winning tag, on the aggressive side. Solid and for the most part straightforward.

Flop is T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. He bets, I call.

Turn is Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. He checks, I check.

River is a 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. He bets,

are you guys actually calling this?

MacGuyV 09-28-2006 07:27 PM

Re: no one answered
 
I'd bet 77 as well. Probably not a good river call for AK/AJ, but you don't think everyone does it?

whodaman 09-28-2006 07:59 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
check for info

geormiet 09-28-2006 11:43 PM

Re: no one answered
 
[ QUOTE ]
i'm revising the post with cards/suits and assuming villain bets the river.

I raise AKo utg in a 6 handed online game. Folded to the sb who 3 bets, folded to me, I call.

SB is a very solid winning tag, on the aggressive side. Solid and for the most part straightforward.

Flop is T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. He bets, I call.

Turn is Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. He checks, I check.

River is a 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. He bets,

are you guys actually calling this?

[/ QUOTE ]

It doesn't matter whether I call this. What matters is what most players will do, and YES most players will call.

The Bryce 09-29-2006 01:53 PM

Re: no one answered
 
I expect him to bet any pair on the end here a lot, so I'd bet.

[ QUOTE ]
It doesn't matter whether I call this. What matters is what most players will do, and YES most players will call.

[/ QUOTE ]

QFT

Schizo 09-29-2006 01:58 PM

Re: no one answered
 
[ QUOTE ]

It doesn't matter whether I call this. What matters is what most players will do, and YES most players will call.

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
I routinely don't cap AK in spots like this against decent hand readers.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ok, playing Mr. Obvious.........

It seems to me like you are saying: "he's good enough of a hand reader to know what the general populace cap preflop with and what how the general public plays ace high. He may even know what I cap or do not cap preflop with. However, he's not good enough to know how I play ace high on the river".

Is that right? If so I like the river bet. Although it takes some specific reads to rule out the chance of him trying to induce a bluff.

geormiet 09-29-2006 03:32 PM

Re: no one answered
 
You're pretty much correct in what you say. Therefore, if the villian is playing his normal A game he should be able to fold AJ.

Some compelling reasons to bet, however:

-He pretty much has only AK or AJ here most of the time.

-If he's good enough to fold AJ, then he's could also fold AK.

-He only has to be tilting a little bit to convince himself to call with AJ.

Joe Tall 09-29-2006 06:15 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
It's very rarely you'll find a player paying you off with AJ and this is the only hand you have value against, check it.

The Funky Llama 09-29-2006 06:16 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
huh? I see this payoff all the time in these games.

Victor 09-29-2006 06:20 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
[ QUOTE ]
It's very rarely you'll find a player paying you off with AJ and this is the only hand you have value against, check it.

[/ QUOTE ]

huh, i see this call all day and i never bluff so its not some metagame thing.

Joe Tall 09-29-2006 07:25 PM

Re: AK unimproved river play
 
[ QUOTE ]
huh? I see this payoff all the time in these games.

[/ QUOTE ]

The problem is that he has 66, 77, 99 and is defense checking or is just stone cold folding. He doesn't have AJ often enough.


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