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-   -   Far too weak passive? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=201890)

Abramovic 09-01-2006 04:54 PM

Far too weak passive?
 
Should I have capped the flop and river?

Poker Room skin
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $0.25/$0.5
10 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (10 players) Hero is UTG+2 with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
2 folds, Hero calls, MP1 folds, MP2 calls, MP3 folds, CO calls, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises</font>, SB calls, BB calls, Hero calls, MP2 calls, CO calls.

Flop: 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (12SB, 6 players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, MP2 folds, CO calls, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls, CO calls.

Turn: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (9BB, 3 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">CO bets</font>, Button folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, CO calls.

River: 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (13BB, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises</font>, Hero calls.

Results:
Final pot: 17BB

Buzz-cp 09-01-2006 04:55 PM

Re: Far too weak passive
 
don't cap flop, yes 3-bet river. Turn is muy excellente.

Smoke em' 09-01-2006 05:06 PM

Re: Far too weak passive
 
[ QUOTE ]
Should I have capped the flop and river?

Flop: 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (12SB, 6 players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, MP2 folds, CO calls, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls, CO calls.


[/ QUOTE ]

No, you played this correctly.

[ QUOTE ]

Turn: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (9BB, 3 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">CO bets</font>, Button folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, CO calls.


[/ QUOTE ]

I think this c/r is probably -EV, but somebody else should probably confirm that if true.

[ QUOTE ]

River: 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (13BB, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises</font>, Hero calls.


[/ QUOTE ]

What are you afraid of on this river? Unless you have a read that CO is so passive he would never raise without the nuts there is a really good chance that you're ahead. Worse hands will still call or raise your 3-bet, so 3-bet it and hope to see it capped.

Bona 09-01-2006 05:10 PM

Re: Far too weak passive
 
* Grunch*

If he has the nut flush he 3 bets the turn right? So the 3 probably made his straight. I think you have to 3 bet the river and call a cap.

Ampelmann 09-01-2006 05:12 PM

Re: Far too weak passive
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Turn: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (9BB, 3 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">CO bets</font>, Button folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, CO calls.


[/ QUOTE ]
I think this c/r is probably -EV, but somebody else should probably confirm that if true.

[/ QUOTE ]
Hero has the 2nd nuts. How can anything be -EV here?

shadeball 09-01-2006 05:13 PM

Re: Far too weak passive
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Turn: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (9BB, 3 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">CO bets</font>, Button folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, CO calls.


[/ QUOTE ]

I think this c/r is probably -EV, but somebody else should probably confirm that if true.


[/ QUOTE ]

Why do you think this is -ev?

Sushiglutton 09-01-2006 05:22 PM

Re: Far too weak passive?
 
Flop is fine 3-handed OOP. Cap river.

RemyXO 09-01-2006 05:27 PM

Re: Far too weak passive
 
** GRUNCH **

Preflop: QTs is a little too weak a hand for me to open at UTG+2, unless the table pretty loose passive. Did you cringe when the button raised?

Flop: Pretty darn goo flop, did you deal it yourself? Now, you are on a close to nut flush draw. You are 2:1 against hitting it on the river. You have 35% chance to win it. Therefore - if it's more than two opponents in the hand, you shold choose the strategy to maximize the amount of money that goes into the pot. I love your bet there. When the button raises and comes back to you, there are EXACTLY two oppenents left. Your reraise will most definitely knock out the cutoff, and you are left with 50% pot equity and 35% odds. Not what you want ... definitely call, not a raise. Note that if a couple of more people called the button's raise, it would have been correct to reraise.

TURN: C/R is good, since betting out will knock out both opponents more often than not.

RIVER: Cap the sucker, no question about that. There are only two hands you are losing to - straight flush and king-high flush. Stop seeing monsters and cap. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Smoke em' 09-01-2006 05:28 PM

Re: Far too weak passive
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

I think this c/r is probably -EV, but somebody else should probably confirm that if true.

[/ QUOTE ]
Hero has the 2nd nuts. How can anything be -EV here?

[/ QUOTE ]

Errrr... That's what I said but not what I meant.

I think the c/r is worse than betting although obviously not -EV. There's too good of a chance of it being checked through behind him. If the button was looking for a free card, OP just granted his wish. If button is playing aggressively, OP might get a raise out of him and be able to 3-bet.

So although the c/r worked out fine, I think the better play is to bet out on the turn and 3-bet button's raise.

Gap23Razor 09-01-2006 06:10 PM

Re: Far too weak passive?
 
river--cap yes, you have 2nd nut flush and it seems likely the villian has a straight...

flop--cap no, you have about 10 outs to win i think...9 for the flush, but i would shave off an out for the 8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]--so make that 8 outs for the flush, also Q or T you can give yourself an out or two--so you have anywhere from 10-12 outs i would estimate---i am sure some people will disagree...i typically do not give a 3 full outs to over cards as someone may hold two pair or trips--maybe too conservative.

But with 47 cards yet to show, you would need about 16 outs to justify raising---you are getting 2 to 1 on just that bet only assuming CO would call, and i think he would as he called once already and the pot is grown big...

riverdeuce 09-01-2006 08:33 PM

Re: Far too weak passive?
 
Cap the river

knockonwood 09-01-2006 09:18 PM

Re: Far too weak passive?
 
Cap the flop, you want narrow down the field if you spike a pair and give it a better chance of holding up. Cap the river. I never used to this without the non-nut flush. I've been doing it routinely lately and extracting a lot more bets.

HollywoodDB 09-01-2006 10:22 PM

Re: Far too weak passive
 
[ QUOTE ]


Preflop: QTs is a little too weak a hand for me to open at UTG+2, unless the table pretty loose passive. Did you cringe when the button raised?



[/ QUOTE ]

Preflop is fine. Raising is fine too. Button's raise should not make you cringe here. I don't mind being in a 6 player pot with QTs for 2 bets preflop.

RAHZero 09-01-2006 11:07 PM

Re: Far too weak passive?
 
Uh, yes. I would play it the same until the river, where I'm certainly 3-betting with the third nuts. CO looks like a lower flush or two pair most of the time.

Smoke em' 09-02-2006 07:27 AM

Re: Far too weak passive
 
[ QUOTE ]

TURN: C/R is good, since betting out will knock out both opponents more often than not.

[/ QUOTE ]

What? Why would betting knock out both opponents? So far the CO has done nothing but call and the button has done nothing but raise. Does this seem unlikely:

Turn: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (9BB, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, CO calls, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero 3-bets</font>, CO calls, Button calls.

I really have to disagree that betting out is likely to fold both opponents. I think the c/r is more likely to fold the CO since we expect the button to bet, meaning that we would raise and the CO would have to coldcall two.

YesMehFriend 09-02-2006 11:35 AM

Re: Far too weak passive?
 
I dont think you can reraise the flop for value with just 2 callers (your pair outs esp. the tens might be worth little). Therefore I like the call.

Turn looks somewhat difficult if button doesnt have an ace he'll often check such an extremely scary card. CO didnt do anything but call up to now so chances are he'll check too. Therefore your c/r might fail often and more over if it works it might scare out some weaker holdings of CO (and button might fold some pps too).
Donking the turn is a good play imo.

The river seems difficult without a read but since many players might raise here with less than the nut flush (he could have a jack-high-flush, maybe even a rivered straight)I like to 3-bet it.


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