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#1
03-27-2006, 06:02 AM
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0.4% Chance
This is I think the worst beat I have ever taken in poker. I say that because of how slim his outs were. In this hand I was a 99.6% favorite on the flop, giving the other guy only 0.4% chance to win. Hand took place at Commerce 200NL.
Huge donkey russian guy to my right, calls every hand pays off every time so I am waiting to trap him. I have K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and am UTG, I limp in know thing he will raise. 5 limpers he makes it 20$. I immediately make it 100$. Everyone folds and he calls. Flop is K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]4 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Jackpot! He checks, I bet 50 he calls. Turn is A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and he pushes allin for about 280$ and I cover. I call and flip over my Kings. River A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] He turns over A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and takes it down! 
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#2
03-27-2006, 06:27 AM
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Re: 0.4% Chance
you were only a 96% favorite on the flop
pokenum -h kh ks - ah 9h -- kd 9c 4h Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 9c Kd 4h cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Ks Kh 950 95.96 40 4.04 0 0.00 0.960 Ah 9h 40 4.04 950 95.96 0 0.00 0.040
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#5
03-27-2006, 07:00 AM
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Re: 0.4% Chance
[ QUOTE ]
When the money was all in he had six outs. This isn't that bad. [/ QUOTE ] Please name those 6 outs.
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#7
03-27-2006, 07:02 AM
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Re: 0.4% Chance
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] When the money was all in he had six outs. This isn't that bad. [/ QUOTE ] Please name those 6 outs. [/ QUOTE ] 2 aces, 2 nines, and 2 jokers. You should know this.
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