Big River Bluff (160bbs)

[Fly]

PartyPoker 100NL Full Ring

Background: Hero has been playing his standard TAG game and has not gotten out of line at all. I have played only one hand of note which was the following (different villain). (stacks = 120bb). CO opens for 4, Hero makes it 14 from the BB. Hero leads for 25 on a flop of QTxcc. Turn is an offsuit J, check check. River is a 9, check, check. CO shows KK and hero takes it down.

The villain for the hand in question has been sitting on a big stack since I arrived at the table. He has not done anything special and has not gotten out of line. I don't think he's played many pots.

Hand: 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Stacks: 160bbs

Pre-flop:
Villain (UTG) bets 4, Hero (MP2) calls.

Flop:7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Pot(9)
Villain checks, Hero bets 7, Villain raises to 16, Hero calls.

Turn:8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Pot(!40)
Villain bets 20, Hero raises to 40, Villain thinks for ~10 seconds and calls.

River:2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Pot(~120)
Villain checks, Hero bets 100 (all-in)

Comments on all streets are welcome.

[jdefoe]

Fold Preflop, Call flop raise, Call Turn, Call river, from what you've told me, it seems this guy is bluffing on a busted flush draw.

[Fly]

[ QUOTE ]
Fold Preflop, Call flop raise, Call Turn, Call river, from what you've told me, it seems this guy is bluffing on a busted flush draw.

[/ QUOTE ]

He didn't bet the river, you might want to reread the hand.

[z28dreams]

Preflop: fine, esp since you want to get mixed up w/ this guy

Flop: looks fine

Turn: Just call here. You've got a lot to draw to, and you really don't want to be put all-in here yet. Villain has shown plenty of strength.

River: As played, I'm totally lost here. If you had just called the turn, the pot would be only $80 instead of $120.

If you really think he just missed his draw, why not check behind and take it down with your top pair? Are you putting him on an overpair?

[Fly]

What makes you think he's drawing? I put him dead on an overp air.

[z28dreams]

[ QUOTE ]
What makes you think he's drawing? I put him dead on an overp air.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree, which is why I don't hate his river bet here given his reads.

[bent96]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What makes you think he's drawing? I put him dead on an overp air.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree, which is why I don't hate his river bet here given his reads.

[/ QUOTE ]

I haven't played 100 NL but do you think he calls this river w/ an overpair? Especially after our turn minraise? I like the river bet as well.

[Fly]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What makes you think he's drawing? I put him dead on an overp air.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree, which is why I don't hate his river bet here given his reads.

[/ QUOTE ]

I haven't played 100 NL but do you really think he calls this river w/ an overpair? Especially after our turn minraise?

[/ QUOTE ]

Pssst, we want villain to fold, hero only has a pair of eights.

[Check_The_Nuts]

I'd like it more if the 2 didn't pair....top 2 pair just got counterfeited....

EDIT: Ya, jerk [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

[thejerkface]

The board pairing 2's makes it more likely for villain to call with an overpair.

EDIT: Oops, didn't see the above post.