0.4% Chance

[omegadan]

This is I think the worst beat I have ever taken in poker. I say that because of how slim his outs were. In this hand I was a 99.6% favorite on the flop, giving the other guy only 0.4% chance to win. Hand took place at Commerce 200NL.
Huge donkey russian guy to my right, calls every hand pays off every time so I am waiting to trap him.
I have K /images/graemlins/heart.gifK /images/graemlins/spade.gif and am UTG, I limp in know thing he will raise. 5 limpers he makes it 20$. I immediately make it 100$. Everyone folds and he calls.

Flop is K /images/graemlins/diamond.gif 9 /images/graemlins/club.gif4 /images/graemlins/heart.gif Jackpot!
He checks, I bet 50 he calls.
Turn is A /images/graemlins/spade.gif and he pushes allin for about 280$ and I cover. I call and flip over my Kings.
River A /images/graemlins/club.gif He turns over A /images/graemlins/heart.gif9 /images/graemlins/heart.gif and takes it down!

[protocol]

you were only a 96% favorite on the flop

pokenum -h kh ks - ah 9h -- kd 9c 4h
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 9c Kd 4h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ks Kh 950 95.96 40 4.04 0 0.00 0.960
Ah 9h 40 4.04 950 95.96 0 0.00 0.040

[NYCNative]

When the money was all in he had six outs. This isn't that bad.

[omegadan]

I got the number for the Cardplayer odds calculator. I thought it seemed kinda low.

[pokergrader]

[ QUOTE ]
When the money was all in he had six outs. This isn't that bad.

[/ QUOTE ]

Please name those 6 outs.

[Madd]

[ QUOTE ]
When the money was all in he had six outs.

[/ QUOTE ]

Huh?

[five4suited]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
When the money was all in he had six outs. This isn't that bad.

[/ QUOTE ]

Please name those 6 outs.

[/ QUOTE ]

2 aces, 2 nines, and 2 jokers. You should know this.

[NYCNative]

Sorry - four outs. It's late/early. And a four-outter is not that horrible. It's bad but there are a lot worse in this forum.

[Madd]

[ QUOTE ]
Sorry - four outs.

[/ QUOTE ]

Huh? again.

[goofball]

NYCNative-

Try again.

[siccjay]

[ QUOTE ]
Sorry - four outs. It's late/early. And a four-outter is not that horrible. It's bad but there are a lot worse in this forum.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well played.

[Bubbles]

NYCNative, iz u on crakk?

[omegadan]

Thanks for some repdemption. He had two outs on the turn and if he wasn't a total donkey he would realize it's pretty unlikely I couldn't beat his Aces up. So it was 2 outs for like 7 bills to the biggest donkey there.

[NYCNative]

Yeah, I'm on crack. Goodnight.

[Hornacek]

[ QUOTE ]
Sorry - four outs. It's late/early. And a four-outter is not that horrible. It's bad but there are a lot worse in this forum.

[/ QUOTE ]

HEE-HAW!

[DING-DONG YO]

umm, two outs. Not 4. The only way villan could win was to hit runner runner aces or runner runner nines. Nine would still have given hero the bigger boat. I nine river after an A turn would still give hero the bigger boat.

And that is a sick beat if I have ever seen one. I have taken ones that sick online before, but never live.

4 outa

[Hattifnatt]

Standard

[obsidian]

[ QUOTE ]
4 outa

[/ QUOTE ]
KKK99 > 999AA