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LordCyfer
07-25-2007, 06:23 AM
What is the probability to get a royal flush at the turn in HL with a JQ suited in the pocket.

oddsock
07-25-2007, 09:32 AM
If there is not at least two of AKT of the same suit as your pocket then 0%.

Assuming you have two of those cards then it's 1/47- a little over 2%,

LordCyfer
07-25-2007, 11:05 AM
In my hand i have JQ
on the flop :
ATx
river :
K
turn :
X

Copernicus
07-25-2007, 12:10 PM
You need 3 out of 4 cards to be your SF cards, order doesnt matter.

C(3,3)*C(47,1)/C(50,4)=.000204....a little over 2 out of 10,000.

filsteal
07-26-2007, 03:17 AM
[ QUOTE ]
You need 3 out of 4 cards to be your SF cards, order doesnt matter.

C(3,3)*C(47,1)/C(50,4)=.000204....a little over 2 out of 10,000.

[/ QUOTE ]

Just to be clear, this is the probability of making a royal flush by the turn with QJs.

Approximately triple this if you're interested in a SF in general, which would include KT9 and T98. (We're double-counting things like AKT9, but whatever.)

For a royal flush by the river, it's

C(3,3)*C(47,2)/C(50,5) = 1/1960.

Copernicus
07-26-2007, 04:26 AM
[ QUOTE ]
Just to be clear, this is the probability of making a royal flush by the turn with QJs.

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL, that WAS the question after all.