NL1000 shortstack - should I bet river here...?

[LSP16]

Hand 2101756479, Started at 20/09/2007 14:00:55 - Blinds : 0 / 0

Seat 0 : vilain (41000 in chips)
Seat 1 : LSP16 (38900 in chips)

ANTES/BLINDS
LSP16 : Dealer
LSP16 : Post Blind (500)
vilain : Post Blind (1000)
Dealt to LSP16 :

PRE-FLOP
LSP16 : Raise (2500)
vilain : Call (2000)

Pot : 5900 (rake : 100)


FLOP


fish4life : Check
LSP16 : Bet (3500)
vilain : Call (3500)

Pot : 12900 (rake : 100)


TURN


vilain : Check
LSP16 : Check

Pot : 12900 (rake : 100)


RIVER


vilain : Check
LSP16 : ????

[AbreuTime]

Is this a tournament hand?

I valubet river about 2/3 pot, fold to raise.

[LSP16]

No its Cash game.. converter is **** up

[Scansion]

Valuetown. With my gamestyle I pot it, but probably 80-90 here is good.

[xSCWx]

[ QUOTE ]
Valuetown. With my gamestyle I pot it

[/ QUOTE ]

[Perestroika]

Scansion do you find yourself being raised on the river often? This isn't condescending but I am truly interested. It seems to me that if your willing to value bet this river, that you will be getting c/r all-in on the river more often. Really bad obtuse follow up: how do you judge if they are bluffing you if they do?

[creedofhubris]

depends how aggro you are and how much of a calling station he is. I personally think there's little value in a bet.

if you think he's playing Jx sooooted preflop and/or he's calling you down with an 8 then it's a clear bet, otherwise it's prolly not worth much either way.

He shows up with a queen and a better jack quite often here if he's tight preflop.