UFC 59 Odds are up - My bets in here:

SunOfBeach · #1 04-11-2006, 06:14 PM

Just made them at open on Pinny:

Arlovski - 400 over Sylvia. WOW is that line off...

Also took Hughes - 380 at UFC60 over Gracie (cool how they listed it now...). Also, WAY off (even more than the AA fight, I think...).

Too bad the minimums open so low...

I was surprised a bit that Tito was -400, so I laid off.

Performify · #2 04-11-2006, 06:32 PM

thanks for posting.

its running away. I got in at -410, its already run through -422 to -430.

I've just about got my picks wrapped, should have them posted sometime tonight to take advantage of the opening lines. Nothing else jumps out as something that will have to be locked ASAP.

I think you're right about the Hughes fight being way off, but the other direction. I'll be strongly on the other side of that one - but will obviously be waiting, as I think most of the money will move on hughes, I hope to be able to hit +450 on Royce.

slickpoppa · #3 04-11-2006, 06:36 PM

I think Sherk is worth locking in now. He started at -110 and is at -122 now. I wouldn't be surprised if that line keeps moving to the -170 range.

Tuds75 · #4 04-11-2006, 09:38 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I think Sherk is worth locking in now. He started at -110 and is at -122 now. I wouldn't be surprised if that line keeps moving to the -170 range.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think Sherk by Dec is a pretty easy call. I would agree on locking him up soon.

Sunofabeach, where did you find AA at -305? That is a steal. Anyone know what the AA/Silvia fight odds opened at Sportsbook? Just Curious

Tuds

swope · #5 04-11-2006, 11:57 PM

sherk should be an easy bet, but diaz was built to triangle him, plus he is overdue.

i think sherk will win, but not enough to put money on it.

Tuds75 · #6 04-12-2006, 12:43 AM

[ QUOTE ]
sherk should be an easy bet, but diaz was built to triangle him, plus he is overdue.

i think sherk will win, but not enough to put money on it.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are correct about Sherk being prime for a triangle, but if you recognize it and I recognize it, then you better believe Sherk and his trainers recognize it as well. Sherk is going to be on guard for a triagle or a guilitone chock as well.

Tuds

SunOfBeach · #7 04-12-2006, 01:00 PM

hey tuds,

it actually fell to 305 on pinny for about 10 minutes yesterday, early eveningish.... i think it was the bottom, or at least very close to it. unfortunately, i have half of my bet locked in at the opening 400, and half at 305, so i'm net 352.5... not bad given the line now (400ish again), but not like I have it all at 305, either...

i think people here are GROSSLY overvaluing sylvia's chance of winning this fight. he has punchers chance (which is maybe a 10% shot at best), nothing more...

tedtodd · #8 04-12-2006, 01:45 PM

[ QUOTE ]
hey tuds,

it actually fell to 305 on pinny for about 10 minutes yesterday, early eveningish.... i think it was the bottom, or at least very close to it. unfortunately, i have half of my bet locked in at the opening 400, and half at 305, so i'm net 352.5... not bad given the line now (400ish again), but not like I have it all at 305, either...

i think people here are GROSSLY overvaluing sylvia's chance of winning this fight. he has punchers chance (which is maybe a 10% shot at best), nothing more...

[/ QUOTE ]

+400 is great- i can't believe it dropped so much.
I agree- Silvia doesn't stand a chance. Arlovski is jsut way too skilled- he is the best, and he's certainly not going to hold back at all since Silvia called him out, by saying AA was holding his belt for him....what a joke. He's gonna get smoked!

I dont have a Pinnacle account...so i'm still waiting for Bodog to open their lines up. They're always the last ones. Sucks.

SunOfBeach · #9 04-11-2006, 07:57 PM

WOW... AA is -358 now. What in the heck is going on out there!?!?!

I honestly thought it would be -475 by now...

SunOfBeach · #10 04-11-2006, 08:37 PM

and now it's at 305... can I say "WOW" again?

suffice it to say, my wife (ah-hem) just bet on it, too...

:-)