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  #1  
Old 08-22-2006, 03:32 PM
theblitz theblitz is offline
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Default Set on 3-flush and 3-str flop

On Tain network so I don't have the exact hand history.
Villain is newish to the table but has been playing solid and I haven't seen any bad plays.

$0.25/$0.50 - 6 max

Hero has 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] - CO.

Hero raises to $2 preflop - 2 callers (Button and BB).

Flop 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

BB Checks
Hero bets $6
Button pushes $46

Hero ???? (I have him covered)
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  #2  
Old 08-22-2006, 04:01 PM
junsie junsie is offline
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Default Re: Set on 3-flush and 3-str flop

wow that is brutal, it looks like he has a made flush, but a small one he is scared of losing. You have 7 outs plus the chance of a running pair, but that may be conterfeited by a straight flush draw to his current flush. I think in this ugly situation you could fold your set. $40 more is a lot to call off with few outs if he does indeed have a made hand.
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  #3  
Old 08-22-2006, 06:00 PM
Prime Suspekt Prime Suspekt is offline
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Default Re: Set on 3-flush and 3-str flop

IMO you get shown a worse hand enough times to make this call +EV. At NL 50, players LOVE to slow play. The only thing that would worry me here is a straight, but his possible holdings with the preflop raise is very unlikely. I believe you see a smaller set, pocket fives, or Ax with the A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] more often than not. Smile and call.
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  #4  
Old 08-22-2006, 06:51 PM
theblitz theblitz is offline
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Default Re: Set on 3-flush and 3-str flop

At the time I chickened out and folded.
However, the more I think about it - the more I think I should probably have called.
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  #5  
Old 08-22-2006, 07:12 PM
Prime Suspekt Prime Suspekt is offline
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Default Re: Set on 3-flush and 3-str flop

I'm guessing you play on PokerShare? I believe I was sitting at a table with you earlier today where you doubled thru with Fives Full against three tens. Or am I mistaken? NH otherwise.
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  #6  
Old 08-22-2006, 07:45 PM
theblitz theblitz is offline
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Default Re: Set on 3-flush and 3-str flop

Well, it's no big secret here that I use the same name on all the sites I play at.
Where you my "victim"?
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  #7  
Old 08-22-2006, 07:49 PM
catalyst catalyst is offline
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Default Re: Set on 3-flush and 3-str flop

i fold here, I am looking at a small flush or straight too often.
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  #8  
Old 08-22-2006, 08:43 PM
bilbo-san bilbo-san is offline
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Default Re: Set on 3-flush and 3-str flop

looks like a straight that is very afraid of a flush. But of course it could also be A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]X, 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], or 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], or all kinds of stuff.

I suspect that calling is mildly +EV but very high variance.
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  #9  
Old 08-22-2006, 09:39 PM
bhudson bhudson is offline
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Default Re: Set on 3-flush and 3-str flop

You must be ahead here 17% of the time to make this a +EV call.
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  #10  
Old 08-22-2006, 10:41 PM
gimmetheloot gimmetheloot is offline
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Default Re: Set on 3-flush and 3-str flop

u sure its only 17%? Does this account for villain having a heart in his hand and everything? if so, clear cut call.
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