$16: 99 flops overpair

[Emperor Norton]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP2 (t1470)
CO (t1905)
Button (t1870)
SB (t1920)
BB (t1630)
UTG (t1845)
UTG+1 (t1390)
Hero (t1470)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to t60</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls t60, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls t60, SB calls t45, BB calls t30.

Flop: (t300) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets t150</font>, BB folds, UTG folds, Hero calls t150, Button calls t150.

Turn: (t750) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets t210</font>, Hero?

Villain is unknown. I'm pretty lost here. Push, fold, call?

[ymu]

The flop bet is weak and looks like a standard continuation bet (ie half pot). The turn bet is really weak - something like 44/55/88/flush draw/AK look very possible. A bigger overpair or a set shouldn't be playing it this weak with all the draws on board.

Tough against an unknown, but a push looks fine. A call isn't completely awful as it looks like he's winding down to check/minibet a blank river, but it's a lot to just call off and gives AK/55 decent odds to hit - even 44/88 are almost getting the right odds here.

[Emperor Norton]

It's not a continuation bet -- villain wasn't the preflop raiser.

[ymu]

Duh!

Then 44-88/Ah5h/Ah3h/Ax7x looks waaaaay more likely than anything else. The turn bet is too weak to be a made hand unless he has 5h8h/5h3h and these aren't that likely given preflop.

There's a chance you're drawing dead, but I think it's more likely that he's still drawing and you're ahead, so I like a push.