1/2 PLO8 - Party - What do you do?

[TheStation]

Party Poker
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
8 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $210.80
UTG+1: $306.70
Hero: $566.96
MP2: $194.50
CO: $91.55
Button: $425.50
SB: $189.45
BB: $96

Pre-flop: (8 players) Hero is MP1 with 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to $4</font>, Hero calls, MP2 calls, CO calls, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($28, 7 players)
SB checks, BB folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets $26.6</font>, Hero calls, MP2 calls, CO calls, Button folds, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises all-in $185.45</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises all-in $276.1</font>, Hero...


Stats on Players in hand:
Format: VPIP / Pre Flop Raise / # of Hands
SB: 42.86 / 13.52 / 8425
SuperAgg Likes to push people out of hands
UTG+1: 90.4 / 37.77 / 323
Super LAG, terrible player
MP2: 28.8 / 1.17 / 2313
CO: 38.99 / 6.33 / 395

Added read:
UTG+1 will do this with any A2xx, A3xx, one pair hands, doesnt need much to push, he loses a buyin about every half hour, total maniac, he just likes to do this stuff in spots where he will get half at best cuase hes an idiot like that

So I have:
TPTK
Uncounterfietable low draw
Gutterball straight draw
Backdoor club draw

What do you do? All in?
I feel good about potential side pot with UTG+1 as I feel I have him beat more than 75% of the time

(I will post results in 24 hours)

[neverforgetlol]

looks good, those draws really add up.

[Burdzthewurd]

Your low draw is counterfeitable by 45xx when it comes A2 on turn and river.

[Phil153]

A4 on turn and river will counterfeit his low as well.

edit: And 24 also!

[TheStation]

[ QUOTE ]
A4 on turn and river will counterfeit his low as well.

edit: And 24 also!

[/ QUOTE ]

Due to 63 on flop I am willing to risk the double counterfeit as my live card will probably be good enough - the only bad rnr rnr would be 24 as A5xx hands could take low away, otherwise i think my "live card" will be good

if it was 83 on flop then yes, the double counterfeit would kill me but double counterfeit on 6 high is pretty safe (or safe enough for me)

[Fiasco]

I think this is a raise on the flop. Especially given your read of UTG+1.

I think this is probably a call when it gets back to you too. Im worried about sets and overpairs and theres a great chance that youre quartered (possibly sixthed). On the other hand, from the way you describe them, theres a chance TPTK is good right now. Very high variance call, but I dont mind those at all.

So I say call (I dont see the point in pushing, since UTG+1 has everyone but you covered, unless youre thinking that it will help scare them out of the pot)

[morphball]

I personally am leaning toward a fold. What exactly do you think these people are betting and calling with? Too much of a chance you are up against at least one set and your low draw is no good.

[PorkPieHat]

Someone with A2 (reasonable) steals a lot of your equity. Someone with 45 (also the type of hand that a lag would push here) hurts you as well. It's very rare that you will have more than 30% here against good opponents and you can safely fold. Against these 2 it's not that easy. If they are that bad then I let it go and wait for a better opportunity to be way ahead.

You are almost never far enough up on here IMO.

[Mendacious]

I call, especially based on the opponents who have raised and their stack sizes. Chances seem real good that you will get at least half of the last $117 you are putting in heads up against super-donk UTG +1. I think that part of the bet is +EV. The remainder of the bet you are only paying $149 for a pot that will be $553 after you call, so by math you need 27% Equity to make the call for the portion of the bet from SB (assuming you are the only other caller). I like those odds, especially since you still have draws to a hands that could scoop trips.

Easy call!

[morphball]

The problem for me is the other players...I think that A2 is begging to be quartered. The people going to town may be bad drivers, buts there's a lot more people on the road.