=== OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

[centris]

There is a really tiny arb available for Dancing with teh Stars betting:

Males wins Bodog +145
Melanie wins Matchbook +350
Maria wins Bodog +500
Jennie wins Bodog +550

The corresponding probabilities add up to less than 1 meaning it is arbable, but I am not sure how to calculate the correct proportion to bet on each. And since the bodog bets are capped at 50$ I bet it is worth less than a dollar. But generally does anyone have a link to an arb calculator for more than two bets?

I think the value here is +145 male wins at bodog. There are three woman and two men left. Matchbook likes the men as teh two favorites and strangly bodog offers +100 on one of the men to win it.

[Jazzy3113]

Sexy pleaser bet:

Risking:$20.00To Win:$6000.00
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 10:00 AM
[207] JACKSONVILLE-1½-110
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 10:00 AM
[209] DENVER-2½-110
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 10:00 AM
[213] CLEVELAND+3½-110
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 10:00 AM
[217] ATLANTA-2-110
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 1:05 PM
[223] CINCINNATI-2-110
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 1:15 PM
[229] DETROIT-4½-110

[hedgie43]

Centris,

This will work

[centris]

Thanks Hedgie,

Now that I think about it the algebra to get it is easy if tedious. Four unknowns four linear equations not too tough. The arb is worth 6 dollars and you tie up 116 for the next month or so while the show is on. If anyone cares it is Male 50$, Mel 27.22$ (matchbook), Maria $20.42 and Jennie $18.85.

[brettkc]

Just getting into sports betting. Anyone tried out WSEX's "sidelines" software tool that has the lines running on your desktop? If not do you use any similar program that makes monitoring lines a bit easier?

[rsigley]

[ QUOTE ]
Just getting into sports betting. Anyone tried out WSEX's "sidelines" software tool that has the lines running on your desktop? If not do you use any similar program that makes monitoring lines a bit easier?

[/ QUOTE ]

its easy to write a program in excel to get the lines from sbrlines or other places as soon as they update

i wrote one in about 4 hours to do that with minimal programming skills to compare the lines looking for arbs

[Jazzy3113]

[ QUOTE ]
Sexy pleaser bet:

Risking:$20.00To Win:$6000.00
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 10:00 AM
[207] JACKSONVILLE-1½-110
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 10:00 AM
[209] DENVER-2½-110
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 10:00 AM
[213] CLEVELAND+3½-110
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 10:00 AM
[217] ATLANTA-2-110
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 1:05 PM
[223] CINCINNATI-2-110
(NFL)11/11/07 @ 1:15 PM
[229] DETROIT-4½-110

[/ QUOTE ]

yumy so far

[Jazzy3113]

I had another great weekend, so I am in no position to whine. But cmon detroit. WTF. Negative rushing yards? 5 turnovers?

I am 100% sure Kitna owed Tony Soprano money.

[Jazzy3113]

I was kinda mad my 20 dollar -->6k pleaser bet misseed by one game, but this guy really missed out. Ouch!

"The ref who called the phantom holding call on ted ginn's touchdown will not be on my christmas list for sure.


111530051-1
16 9:47am 11-Nov-07 11-Nov-07 Parlay 5-Team Parlay 2,000.00 -2,000.00
1. Win 11-Nov Football/NFL (Moneyline) Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans for Game (+195) 28 - 13
2. Win 11-Nov Football/NFL (Moneyline) Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs for Game (+145) 27 - 11
3. Loss 11-Nov Football/NFL (Moneyline) Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins for Game (+115) 13 - 10
4. Win 11-Nov Football/NFL (Moneyline) St Louis Rams vs New Orleans Saints for Game (+430) 37 - 29
5. Win 11-Nov Football/NFL (Spread) Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers (-5.5) for Game (-110) 0 - 34

This parlay would have paid $312k and change."

[Austiger]

I wish I had two grand to throw around on a donk parlay.