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#1
07-23-2007, 06:49 PM
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10/20 turn and riv decision
My notes on villian: Flop postury in big pot. Missed easy river value. Doesn't seem to tilt, folds easily postflop.
I raise KJhh in sb, he 3 bets, I cap. Flop is A63 with 1 heart. I bet, he calls. Turn is 7h. I pause like 3 seconds, and check, deciding to c-r if he bets. He checks. Riv is a low blank, and I check fold. You think the turn play is profitable? Any other option on the river? 
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#3
07-23-2007, 07:44 PM
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Re: 10/20 turn and riv decision
i dont think he bets a pair other than an ace very much on the turn, which thwarts your semibluff opprotunity. so i'd just bet the turn. but if u know he can fold a mediocre ace to a turn cr then by all means, go for it, but i dont think anyone would in a blind battle.
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#4
07-23-2007, 07:49 PM
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Re: 10/20 turn and riv decision
[ QUOTE ]
i dont think he bets a pair other than an ace very much on the turn, which thwarts your semibluff opprotunity. so i'd just bet the turn. but if u know he can fold a mediocre ace to a turn cr then by all means, go for it, but i dont think anyone would in a blind battle. [/ QUOTE ] The other option is c/c turn, c/f river, but we have enough equity that he folds often enough for us to bet.
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#5
07-23-2007, 08:35 PM
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Re: 10/20 turn and riv decision
Definitley just bet the turn here... you capped preflop for this exact type of situation. If he bets the turn then he probably has an ace anyway making a c/r a spew, and by betting you could get a straightforward bad player to put you on ace or bigger PP then him and muck right there, which is of huge value to you.
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#6
07-23-2007, 08:38 PM
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Re: 10/20 turn and riv decision
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] i dont think he bets a pair other than an ace very much on the turn, which thwarts your semibluff opprotunity. so i'd just bet the turn. but if u know he can fold a mediocre ace to a turn cr then by all means, go for it, but i dont think anyone would in a blind battle. [/ QUOTE ] The other option is c/c turn, c/f river, but we have enough equity that he folds often enough for us to bet. [/ QUOTE ] This the line I take and if the turn goes check/check I strongly consider check/calling the river. I would probably check/call the river as played. -DeathDonkey
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#7
07-23-2007, 11:51 PM
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Re: 10/20 turn and riv decision
I can't see myself checking the turn.
If you have a note saying he folds easily post flop, are you using this information to decide that since he peeled the flop he has to have an A (doesn't seem so since you were about to spew all over his face w/ your -ev c/r) or did you just neglect this entirely by failing to follow though?
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