AKs semi-deep

[straightaway]

Villian 20.7/13.1/2.7 over about 1.5k minded hands. No real reads though. I think I made a good play but I want to see what everyone else would do.

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): $293.40
UTG: $210.50
CO: $248.85
BTN: $238.15
SB: $409.75

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
2 folds, BTN raises to $7, SB calls $6, Hero raises to $26, BTN folds, SB calls $19

Flop: ($59) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $30, SB raises to $90, Hero ...

[rsxpunk]

umm do you have a fd here? This seems really spewy SB is not raise/folding very often at all here imo.

[straightaway]

yeah, edited post to reflect suits

[Kairos]

A push is +ev here even if he is never folding.

Board: Qc 7c 2h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.526% 41.53% 00.00% 7400 0.00 { AcKc }
Hand 1: 58.474% 58.47% 00.00% 10420 0.00 { QQ+, AQs, AQo }

[RustySpoons]

[ QUOTE ]
A push is +ev here even if he is never folding.

Board: Qc 7c 2h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.526% 41.53% 00.00% 7400 0.00 { AcKc }
Hand 1: 58.474% 58.47% 00.00% 10420 0.00 { QQ+, AQs, AQo }

[/ QUOTE ]

lol at not including 22 and 77

[orange]

raise more pf, bet more on the flop.

[nazahl]

nice first post tool

[Kairos]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
A push is +ev here even if he is never folding.

Board: Qc 7c 2h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.526% 41.53% 00.00% 7400 0.00 { AcKc }
Hand 1: 58.474% 58.47% 00.00% 10420 0.00 { QQ+, AQs, AQo }

[/ QUOTE ]

lol at not including 22 and 77

[/ QUOTE ]

Including 77 here makes this about breakeven, but most Tags will fold pre. He almost never has 22 here. If he does call with these hands pre he has to make moves on the flop to break even which makes a push even more +ev.

[kolotoure]

Anything but shoving here sucks imo

[cheer]

he has 22, 77 way more often then AQ. alway, but embrace variance and push.