Baluga theorem in action?

[aislephive]

Villain is 34/8 over 150 hands, donkish etc.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

Button ($154.30)
SB ($312.09)
BB ($68.08)
UTG ($83.50)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($107.30)</font>
<font color="#C00000">CO ($206.14)</font>

Preflop: Hero is MP with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4</font>, CO calls $4, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>.

Flop: ($9.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $6.5</font>, CO calls $6.50.

Turn: ($22.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $15</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $36</font>, Hero ???

[Unknown Soldier]

I'd say so, how agro is he?

[Ben86]

only problem i see here is that he may have an overpair as well. id call and check call the river i think.

[delta k]

baluga doesn't apply since we have a 2pr hand here.

[MasterLJ]

No. He could easily have an overpair here. I call turn and call a decent river bet. You can easily make a case for shoving here.

[Unknown Soldier]

theyd usually raise flop w/ an overpair wouldnt they?

[WelshChip]

[ QUOTE ]
only problem i see here is that he may have an overpair as well. id call and check call the river i think.

[/ QUOTE ]

this would leave u in bad spot, due to fact pot size bet would be more than rest of stack.

I push


WelshChip

[orange]

i dont fold. not sure if BW thm applies here because of the paired board.

[Ben86]

type of villian described wouldnt necessarily

[shockdaworld]

Can we include A8s, 98s, and 22-77 to his range? Don't most donks with these stats overvalue tp, put you on overcards, etc? If we are calling the turn raise, isn't pushing most rivers getting value from some of these marginal hands he will check behind?

Also, did a search but results were all over the place, what exactly is the baluga theorum?