NL 50: QQ good here?

[Pokerdemic]

Villain is 14/7/5 over 120 or so. FWIW, the flop raise and the turn shove were both insta-raises.

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: $26.60
Hero (MP): $48.50
CO: $53.25
BTN: $47
SB: $53.90
BB: $35.65

Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG calls $0.50, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2.50</font>, CO folds, BTN calls $2.50, 2 folds, UTG calls $2

Flop: ($8.25) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $6</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $14</font>, UTG folds, Hero calls $8

Turn: ($36.25) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $30.50 and is All-In</font>, Hero?

[ama0330]

He has 99 or you are ahead, I think I can call here.

[vieira10]

Call and hope he has TT or JJ.

[En Passant]

[ QUOTE ]
Call he has TT or JJ.

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP.

[KCrow]

I don't think he raises 99 here. If he has it I'd say he's far more likely to let you bet the turn and raise then. I call and expect/hope to see JJ TT.

[Go_BroKe]

call the turn to see a pocket pair smaller than yours.

[Pokerdemic]

you all so smart

[Daniel LeClaire]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Call he has AA.

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP.

[/ QUOTE ]

FYFYP

Seriously, I don't see how you can do anything but stack off here. I wouldn't be surprised to see 99, KK, or AA. But, I think you are also ahead here some percentage of the time. This is a good board, there's some dead money in the pot, and villain is aggressive = roll wit it!

[gumpzilla]

Villain is aggressive, sure, but he's also pretty damn tight, and 14/7 seems suggestive to me that he need not 3bet a lot PF. How likely is he to stack off with TT or JJ here? You need to win something like 30% of the time. Assuming from his PF tightness that he cannot have a 4, this would be a call if you think TT, JJ, KK+ and 99 are all equally weighted. But I don't think they are, and I think you should dump this. KK would be pretty close but probably a call (including the slight chance of bluffing), AA would be a call.

[captfunk99]

I think it is very close 30 percent chance of being ahead seems about right. I call and I don't like it.