Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Limit Texas Hold'em > Small Stakes Shorthanded
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-24-2006, 05:44 AM
jordiepop jordiepop is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: 200nl permanently
Posts: 2,418
Default normal variance??

I play 2-4 on full tilt usually 2 tables. I have times where i sit down and with in a short period of time im down 25-30 bb's. Im new to lhe so sorry if this is normal and im just being ridic. Im just wondering what normal swings would be for 6 max ... thanks
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-24-2006, 06:02 AM
Flintoff Flintoff is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 2,702
Default Re: normal variance??

Awww c'mon man. You gotta know the answer to that one.

25bb?!!?

You can lose that in an orbit!
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-24-2006, 06:29 AM
Bullitos Bullitos is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Netherlands
Posts: 517
Default Re: normal variance??

I wish I was you, I would love to only have a 25bb loss after a few orbits [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-24-2006, 08:15 AM
barry seven barry seven is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Sweden
Posts: 5
Default Re: normal variance??

consider my -14bb/100 for yesterdays 2000 hands (with a 200k hands bb/100 hoovering around 3.5 bb/100) not normal on a day per day basis but not a too unique event either.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-24-2006, 11:54 PM
Hi5 Hi5 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Australia
Posts: 86
Default Re: normal variance??

I lost 150 BB over the course of 3-4 hours while multitabling, which constituted half of my bankroll. I believe that about half of that was almost certainly variance. You just have to stop, cool off, think/talk about or study the mistakes you may have made, get back on your feet again and play.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-25-2006, 12:12 AM
seitz88 seitz88 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: drinkin and clickin
Posts: 34
Default Re: normal variance??

definitely nothing to be worried about.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-25-2006, 12:28 AM
Leader Leader is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Excellence: Learn, Play, Win.
Posts: 7,682
Default Re: normal variance??

Let's do a simple experiment to illustrate how short runs mean very little.

We have two players one is a 3BB/100 winner and the other is a -3BB/100 loser. They both have a standard deviation of 17BB/100. They both play 100 hands.

Player A will win/lose between -48BB and 54BB 99.5% of the time.

Player B will win/lose between -54BB and 48BB 99.5% of the time.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-25-2006, 02:52 AM
Heisenb3rg Heisenb3rg is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 1,733
Default Re: normal variance??

I still dont really apreciate the variance of this game.
I moved up to 5/10 for a little while, and have posted a
-13BB/100 in 1300 hands. Some horrid luck that I wouldnt believed if it were told to me.

As you move up in stakes it gets worse too, because your edge gets smaller relative to the players , and the games get more agressive.

Im slowly moving over to NL myself, planning to play SH Limit only when a juicy game is avaialable. The key to SH limit is finding a juicy game. The variance is high, but so is your payoff.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-25-2006, 02:59 AM
DCWildcat DCWildcat is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: a better state than yours
Posts: 2,509
Default Re: normal variance??

[ QUOTE ]
Let's do a simple experiment to illustrate how short runs mean very little.

We have two players one is a 3BB/100 winner and the other is a -3BB/100 loser. They both have a standard deviation of 17BB/100. They both play 100 hands.

Player A will win/lose between -48BB and 54BB 99.5% of the time.

Player B will win/lose between -54BB and 48BB 99.5% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

That's the best example I've ever heard for variance
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11-25-2006, 04:50 AM
jordiepop jordiepop is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: 200nl permanently
Posts: 2,418
Default Re: normal variance??

am i better of just sticking to nl ... i do better at it but i wanna play all games
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 10:21 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.