#21
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Re: Rainkhan and the 33 versus Alex Kravchenko
[ QUOTE ]
I'm going to use these hand ranges: Kravchenko: {22+,A2s+,KTs+,QJs,A3o+,KJo+} Khan: {22+,A8s+,KJs+,ATo+,KQo} Rahme: AQo With those, main pot equities are (ignoring splits): Kravchenko: 0.28603 Khan: 0.37661 Rahme: 0.33736 The side pot is a little harder because the only situation we care about is when Kravchenko wins the main. It means AQo probably missed and I think is going to make Khan's range fare a little better on those boards against AQo, but for now I'll just assume they split 50/50. EV_call=0.33736(4486.323)+0.37661(2253.401)+0.2860 3(0.5*3733.200+0.5*2094.028) =3195.628 EV_fold=0.56062(3289.466)+0.43938(3237.937)=3266.8 25 Mucking AQo wins by about $71,000. [/ QUOTE ] I looked at the numbers you posted earlier, it seems close with AQ but AK looks like a clear call. Whether Khans range includes the smallest pairs is probably of minor relevance with AK/AQ. Good post Slim |
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