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  #11  
Old 04-18-2007, 11:58 PM
Chxdgt Chxdgt is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL; bottom set

[ QUOTE ]
This board is just so dry. Does anybody think about folding here?

[/ QUOTE ]

Nope, I shove. I had a very similar hand this evening and ended up losing to quads. Given the opportunity, I'd do the same thing again.
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  #12  
Old 04-19-2007, 12:13 AM
GtrHtr GtrHtr is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL; bottom set

[ QUOTE ]
Villian is 16.3/10.87/3.00 over 92 hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

Seriously, we need to stop looking at our cards as much as we need to look at villains range here. AA and 77 are in that range, as are AK and AQ, AJs and thats about it. Is villain shoving TP to a reraise here? I'm not saying I'd fold, but our analysis should be more than overshove/call and include his range from that position AND his action post flop.
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  #13  
Old 04-19-2007, 12:22 AM
ciki57 ciki57 is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL; bottom set

<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
Board: 7d 2h Ac
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 66.459% 66.99% 00.00% 3619361 0.00 { 2c2d }
Hand 1: 33.541% 33.81% 00.00% 1826679 0.00 { AA, 77, AKs, AKo }


</pre><hr />
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  #14  
Old 04-19-2007, 02:02 AM
wslee00 wslee00 is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL; bottom set

please call
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  #15  
Old 04-19-2007, 02:10 AM
SirFelixCat SirFelixCat is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL; bottom set

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Villian is 16.3/10.87/3.00 over 92 hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

Seriously, we need to stop looking at our cards as much as we need to look at villains range here. AA and 77 are in that range, as are AK and AQ, AJs and thats about it. Is villain shoving TP to a reraise here? I'm not saying I'd fold, but our analysis should be more than overshove/call and include his range from that position AND his action post flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you run the numbers in Poker Stove, you see that your equity is greater than 80% with your range.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

32,670 games 0.005 secs 6,534,000 games/sec

Board: As 7d 2h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 80.376% 80.38% 00.00% 26259 0.00 { 2c2d }
Hand 1: 19.624% 19.62% 00.00% 6411 0.00 { AA, 77, AJs+, AQo+ }

How do you justify folding?
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  #16  
Old 04-19-2007, 03:45 AM
orange orange is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL; bottom set

folding here is nasty. AK no goot ship it.
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  #17  
Old 04-19-2007, 04:25 AM
Loc0Loc0 Loc0Loc0 is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL; bottom set

I'd call ...

Wouldn't AA/77 which pushes miss a lot of value here?
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  #18  
Old 04-19-2007, 04:35 AM
Grim Reapa Grim Reapa is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL; bottom set


Let the timer tick down to 1 second, type "ship it" in the chat box then call!

Seriously if you fold here you should stop playing the poker!!
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  #19  
Old 04-19-2007, 05:41 AM
flo flo is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL; bottom set

[ QUOTE ]
please call

[/ QUOTE ]
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  #20  
Old 04-19-2007, 05:47 AM
sdunsmb sdunsmb is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL; bottom set

call.
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