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  #1  
Old 07-23-2006, 12:16 AM
Rekwob Rekwob is offline
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Default pretty standard fold of the nuts here right?

ok, tribeca 15k gtd, $27 rebuy, down to the final 3.

stacks are 470k for me, 400k for villian, 220k for the other guy. ive been chipping away at them both since it got down to 3 way. blinds 6k/12k

villian limps on the button, SB limps, i check with A6dd

flop comes Jc Qh Ks and is checked around. turn is Tc. SB checks, i bet 20k, villian pushes, SB folds, I fold?
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  #2  
Old 07-23-2006, 12:31 AM
yabastid yabastid is offline
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Default Re: pretty standard fold of the nuts here right?

b/c of his free roll if he has Axc?
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  #3  
Old 07-23-2006, 12:32 AM
rothko rothko is offline
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Default Re: pretty standard fold of the nuts here right?

wtf?
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  #4  
Old 07-23-2006, 01:02 AM
skier_5 skier_5 is offline
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Default Re: pretty standard fold of the nuts here right?

what, why? if he has a freeroll then that sucks. call.

if he has a set/2p and he sucked out, that sucks. call.
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  #5  
Old 07-23-2006, 01:02 AM
ImWeakTight@UCLA ImWeakTight@UCLA is offline
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Default Re: pretty standard fold of the nuts here right?

ya defintly u should muck cuz he probalby has the ace of clubs and u dont want him to river a flush. LOL
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  #6  
Old 07-23-2006, 01:53 AM
Foucault Foucault is offline
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Default Re: pretty standard fold of the nuts here right?

I have a feeling this is a bad beat post.
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  #7  
Old 07-23-2006, 02:00 AM
rothko rothko is offline
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Default Re: pretty standard fold of the nuts here right?

[ QUOTE ]
I have a feeling this is a bad beat post.

[/ QUOTE ]

only explanation
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  #8  
Old 07-23-2006, 02:23 AM
ciaran ciaran is offline
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Default Re: pretty standard fold of the nuts here right?

OK there's about a 20% chance villain wins this hand if he's freerolling the flush and Hero only splits otherwise, and a slightly higher chance that he fills up on the river if he has a set, though in that case Hero has a huge advantage the other 70-odd percent of the time.

I suppose depending on the payout structure you could make a case for folding (I'm not going to do the math, but I can fathom the possibility), but that would only be the case if you absolutely knew he was free-rolling with Ax clubs. I doubt there has to be much chance that this is a set/two pair/ass-end of the straight to make the potential for doubling up rapidly outweigh that possibility though.
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  #9  
Old 07-23-2006, 02:24 AM
ciaran ciaran is offline
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Default Re: pretty standard fold of the nuts here right?

Toss in a few other short stacks, and this gets a lot more interesting, too.
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  #10  
Old 07-23-2006, 02:28 AM
Foucault Foucault is offline
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Default Re: pretty standard fold of the nuts here right?

I fear I am going to feel stupid making a serious response to this thread, but if for some reason you were going to fold to a push, then don't bet the turn.
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