Some Pats/Colts props I like

crockpot · #1 11-04-2007, 02:53 AM

Moss under 1.5 TD -125 (VIP) - Really? Half a season goes by, and suddenly this guy is the best WR in NFL history? Moss needs to project at 1.5 scores this week for -125 to break even, and I think he's comfortably below that.

Manning +0.5 TD over Brady +170 (SB) - Ties win AND I get +170? Where do I sign? If we project Brady to throw a full TD more than Manning, this bet still offers a 10% edge.

Pats to go undefeated +500 (WagerWeb) - Given that you can bet the "No" at -240 on the Strip (or -250 at SB), this seems pretty automatic.

I also still like Brady under 49.5 TD +160 (SB), but that could be because I'm stubborn.

edit: To show you how ludicrous the Manning +0.5 line is, you can arb it with Brady -0.5 for +138 at WSEX.

Proline Fiend · #2 11-04-2007, 03:12 AM

When is the first time a team is 7-0, Super Bowl Champs but 5.5 point dogs?

n2p · #3 11-04-2007, 08:26 AM

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I also still like Brady under 49.5 TD +160 (SB), but that could be because I'm stubborn.

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It is -156 on WSEX that he has 50+ so I agree there is still some value there

NhlNut · #4 11-04-2007, 11:49 AM

NE wins every quarter. +1700
Why do I think this will happen?
<flushing $10>

bills217 · #5 11-04-2007, 12:46 PM

What do you think of Manning to throw first TD pass +150? Seems like a small edge there without looking at it in too much detail.

crockpot · #6 11-04-2007, 01:45 PM

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What do you think of Manning to throw first TD pass +150? Seems like a small edge there without looking at it in too much detail.

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i'd rather bet the Manning +0.5 prop, but if you can't, there's probably some value in +150.

bills217 · #7 11-04-2007, 01:56 PM

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What do you think of Manning to throw first TD pass +150? Seems like a small edge there without looking at it in too much detail.

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I'm gonna hit it...Brady is -135 at Greek...I don't use SB.

bills217 · #8 11-04-2007, 01:57 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What do you think of Manning to throw first TD pass +150? Seems like a small edge there without looking at it in too much detail.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm gonna hit it...Brady is -135 at Greek...I don't use SB.

[/ QUOTE ]

!#$$#!$# they moved it...+140 now.

boscoboy · #9 11-04-2007, 02:20 PM

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When is the first time a team is 7-0, Super Bowl Champs but 5.5 point dogs?

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i think it happened in 2007

Performify · #10 11-04-2007, 03:14 PM

probably should have put this in the Colts / Pats thread...

-P