Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 06-27-2007, 05:22 PM
Vertical Taco Vertical Taco is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Stealing Gas Money
Posts: 135
Default EV formula

Hello,

Currently when calculating EV based on equity I use the following formula:

EV = [(1 - equity in the pot) x (bet to call)] + [(equity in the pot) x (pot size)]

Purely out of curiosity, I was wondering how this formula was devised,

Keep it simple [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 06-27-2007, 11:13 PM
AaronBrown AaronBrown is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: New York
Posts: 2,260
Default Re: EV formula

This formula doesn't make sense to me. How are you using it?
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 06-29-2007, 01:22 AM
BritNewbie BritNewbie is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Leeds, UK
Posts: 157
Default Re: EV formula

I think I can see how this formula was derived:

Write your pot equity as a decimal (ie. 20% equity would be written as 0.2)

Then (1 - pot equity) represents the probability of not winning the pot. If you multiply that by the size of the current bet, that's how much of the current bet you're going to lose.

At the same time, pot equity X pot size is how much of the pot you stand to win.

Added together those two figures give you the E.V.

I hope that's right.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:12 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.