Dell laptop order-to-ship time

[HeroInBlack]

I ordered the low-end notebook from dell.com at 8:00AM eastern time Friday June 15. I didn't change a single thing from the default setup, and I paid for next-day delivery. I am in Georgia. The estimated ship date is July 1, but I know they have a history of beating that date pretty soundly.

What is the chance of this thing arriving at my house this coming Friday (one week after order) or before? Note that the order status on Dell's site is still "in production." Also note that my card hasn't been charged yet.

Or, if you have placed a similar order in the past, how long did it take to get to you?

Thanks.