Betting blind against the Yankees

[whipsaw]

It is my theory that the following factors this year combine to make it profitable to bet blind against the Yankees in all games except Red Sox matchups:

1) higher than normal parity throughout baseball
2) general overhype of the yanks (standard)
3) dead money coming in by yanks fans (standard)

I'm excluding Sox matchups because I feel they are equally overhyped and thus the line won't get as distorted in those games. I will put a unit on these games and track it in this thread. I hope others will join me.

[whipsaw]

DRays +159

YTD 0-0

[Homer]

Betting blind on the Royals

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Try this one too. mrbaseball has had success with it, though I think perhaps he bet them selectively.

[BellagioPlayer]

Good idea, keep us informed.

[mrbaseball]

[ QUOTE ]
Try this one too. mrbaseball has had success with it, though I think perhaps he bet them selectively.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not exactly blindly. But betting on the Royals and/or against the Yankees often has value due to the hype/anti-hype involved. Depends of course on a lot of different factors but more often than not edges can be found in the undervalued Royals or fading the overvalued Yankees due to public prejudices.

[foolishdrunk]

are you betting the runline or moneyline

[whipsaw]

[ QUOTE ]
are you betting the runline or moneyline

[/ QUOTE ]

ML. run line is for n00bs.

[TheRover]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
are you betting the runline or moneyline

[/ QUOTE ]

ML. run line is for n00bs.

[/ QUOTE ]

No it isn't.

[Kevroc]

[ QUOTE ]
It is my theory that the following factors this year combine to make it profitable to bet blind against the Yankees in all games except Red Sox matchups:

1) higher than normal parity throughout baseball
2) general overhype of the yanks (standard)
3) dead money coming in by yanks fans (standard)

I'm excluding Sox matchups because I feel they are equally overhyped and thus the line won't get as distorted in those games. I will put a unit on these games and track it in this thread. I hope others will join me.

[/ QUOTE ]

if the hype is "equal" then why not bet against bosox too?

[whipsaw]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
It is my theory that the following factors this year combine to make it profitable to bet blind against the Yankees in all games except Red Sox matchups:

1) higher than normal parity throughout baseball
2) general overhype of the yanks (standard)
3) dead money coming in by yanks fans (standard)

I'm excluding Sox matchups because I feel they are equally overhyped and thus the line won't get as distorted in those games. I will put a unit on these games and track it in this thread. I hope others will join me.

[/ QUOTE ]

if the hype is "equal" then why not bet against bosox too?

[/ QUOTE ]

Good point, and I have basically four responses, the first of which is probably the most important.

1. I hate the Yankees more so I will get more joy out of winning money vs. them
2. I think on a day to day basis, more regular money comes in on the Yanks, but when Yanks/Sox get matched up then Boston fans will pay more attention (ie bet more). Thus I think the Yanks/DRays lines are more distorted than Sox/DRays lines, although those are probably distorted too.
3. Ease of administration
4. I'm testing a theory I'd rather not put two units on everyday.