QQ squeeze turn to topset - turn trouble? 10/20

[Joker757]

With out much history think this is a fold on the turn. He called your RR cold in positioin with two other players in the pot. Think he would have RR with AA or KK to narrow the field to try and get heads up. That SHOULD (depending on how bad/loose he is) to mid pairs and AK sometimes AQ.

He again smooth calls your bet on the flop. Since there isnt a lot of history cant see him knowing if you do a lot of continuation betting heads up. Dont think he is calling with AK unless its suited or any pair lower than 9's may get a loose call from 88 but not likely. So we can eliminate AKo and 88 with some confidence.

Since you said that he is drunk that changes things a bit but the good news is that the only hands we are behind to are K10 and slight favorite over AsKs and 1010 and big favorite over two pair and have other sets drawing THIN!

The turn was terrible since it completed the striaght if he was holding pocket 10's or even worse As10s(sometimes likely from a drunk) but it could have also given him a pair plus a fd at which point hes still an underdog against your hand but he might put you on AQ,etc.

Given the range of hands he can have we are ahead a good bit of the time and behind a good bit of the time. If we were getting about even money on the call or slightly less than 2 to 1 think we can make this call and it be profitable but given that we have to call 3900 to win 5500 not even getting 1.5 to 1 and needing to fill up to win a good bit of the time therfore thinks its a fold.