Does LAG play decrese variance?

[BlackMajic]

I'm new to the game of Omaha, so bear with me please.

It seems to me when you you play a more TAG type game in Omaha where there are fewer and smaller advantages, you are more likely to hit bad beats. This seems especially true in large multi person pots because people can draw with decent odds.

LAG play would seem to get around this by managing the variance. You play more pots as a total %, thereby hitting some beats and delivering others. It also seems that there is a lot more dead money in Omaha tham in other games which would give you more fold equity overall.

From my personal experience, whenever I would try and play tighter (seeing 30% or less of my flops) it would always seem to backfire on me in that I would get less action and eventually I would get stomped by some horrendous bad beat (I don't need to tell the stories, but set over set, larger boat, quads on the river, etc). A couple good days of play would be ruined by a day of constant losing (my worst was -20 buyins).

Any thoughts on this?

[TheRempel]

Only thing I really have to say about this is that taggy play requires far better game selection than playing laggy does for obvious reasons.

[rine]

Well more dead money should decrease fold equity, just as a sidenote. And you are talking about limit omaha, right?

[RoundTower]

it might decrease variance/winrate, which is actually all that really matters. Playing lots of big pots often in coinflip situations does not reduce variance/hand, however.

[alavet]

that reduces variance in %
but in numbers it would increase instead

[Elrazor]

varience will stay the same over the long termplaying LAG or TAG.

what you are saying is like when they 'run it twice' - if you play more coin flips you might reduce the varience on a hourly or daily basis, but not on a long term

[pete fabrizio]

[ QUOTE ]
varience will stay the same over the long termplaying LAG or TAG.

what you are saying is like when they 'run it twice' - if you play more coin flips you might reduce the varience on a hourly or daily basis, but not on a long term

[/ QUOTE ]

this makes no sense.

[Elrazor]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
varience will stay the same over the long termplaying LAG or TAG.

what you are saying is like when they 'run it twice' - if you play more coin flips you might reduce the varience on a hourly or daily basis, but not on a long term

[/ QUOTE ]

this makes no sense.

[/ QUOTE ]

i must be missing the point of the post then

[rine]

Well you can't say "variance" and "long term" in the same sentence very good. Variance is the fluctuations given a specific winrate. So in the long run you have no variance at all.

[Elrazor]

[ QUOTE ]
varience will stay the same over the long term playing LAG or TAG.

[/ QUOTE ]

exactly