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  #1  
Old 10-26-2007, 01:23 AM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&

let us gogogo
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  #2  
Old 10-26-2007, 01:47 AM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&


IAN JOHNSON is out everyone



Everything I've seen so far suggests the spreads/ML/OU are right on

all my models and all line movements so far are matching that

don't see any motivational/emotional/scheduling edge

last year Boise smoked Fresno St, but both teams have alot of turnover--Boise St is on a 5 year run of embarrassing Fresno St verse the spread


the one thing that makes me think yes on Fresno is it seems the public money is coming in big on Boise so far
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  #3  
Old 10-26-2007, 03:18 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&

agree big public money on Boise
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  #4  
Old 10-26-2007, 07:18 PM
thelyingthief thelyingthief is offline
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Default Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&

???

you call -3 -110 -> -2.5, -105 big money on Bste?? sez who?
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  #5  
Old 10-26-2007, 07:24 PM
n2p n2p is offline
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Default Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&

consensus is like 66%
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  #6  
Old 10-26-2007, 08:09 PM
Austiger Austiger is offline
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Default Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&

Fresno +125 to win 1u
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  #7  
Old 10-26-2007, 08:13 PM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&

[ QUOTE ]
???

you call -3 -110 -> -2.5, -105 big money on Bste?? sez who?

[/ QUOTE ]

big Public money

read much?

considering the majority of bettors are on Boise, yet the spread has fallen a bit, who do you think the sharps are on?
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  #8  
Old 10-26-2007, 08:38 PM
Austiger Austiger is offline
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Default Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&

I'm not sure if there is a name for this, but does anyone ever bet both sides of a game, ML vs. spread, with the risk of losing both? For example if you could have simultaneously gotten Boise -2.5 -105 and Fresno +130? I'm nearly certain this would be +EV. Just curious if anyone had this in their scalping reportoire.
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  #9  
Old 10-26-2007, 08:53 PM
Ichabod1985 Ichabod1985 is offline
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Default Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&

Boise -2.5 2 Units
Boise -1 1H 1 Unit
Under 64 1 Unit
Under 32 1H 1 Unit
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  #10  
Old 10-26-2007, 09:01 PM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&

[ QUOTE ]
I'm not sure if there is a name for this, but does anyone ever bet both sides of a game, ML vs. spread, with the risk of losing both? For example if you could have simultaneously gotten Boise -2.5 -105 and Fresno +130? I'm nearly certain this would be +EV. Just curious if anyone had this in their scalping reportoire.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thremp calls them a "Polish Middle" in AIM chats

might be the term or Thremp is just being his racist self
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