Unofficial BSP pick

[EdCota]

looks like it's the books against the sharps and squares. I sure hope the books win this one.

[MyTurn2Raise]

[ QUOTE ]
I just got +5 at bodog

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got to love the bodog

Pinny has it +4 -101 and they hang +5 -110...nice edge there for a NFL game

[Tyler Durden]

tyvm.

random question, were the Giants a BSP pick last week vs. Atlanta on MNF?

[27offsuit]

Hines Ward (sprained knee), Troy Polamalu (abdomen) and Santonio Holmes (hamstring) are all expected to play.

Denver cornerback Champ Bailey missed practice Wednesday with a troublesome quadriceps injury. He is listed as day-to-day for Sunday’s showdown with the Steelers.

Things could get ugly when the Broncos’ rush defense – the worst in the NFL – faces off with the Steelers’ second-ranked rush offense at INVESCO Field on Sunday.


# Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
# Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
# Steelers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
# Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.
# Steelers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
# Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
# Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.


# Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
# Broncos are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
# Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
# Broncos are 4-25-3 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
# Broncos are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
# Broncos are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games.
# Broncos are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 vs. AFC.
# Broncos are 0-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
# Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
# Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
# Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.


# Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
# Over is 8-0 in Broncos last 8 games on grass.
# Over is 8-0 in Broncos last 8 home games.
# Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
# Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
# Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games overall.
# Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 vs. AFC.
# Over is 10-1 in Broncos last 11 games following a ATS loss.
# Over is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
# Over is 5-1-1 in Broncos last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
# Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
# Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games as an underdog.

[McFadden]

I believe Pittsburgh will win here as they're getting their top guns back while Denver will be missing Champ, as 27offsuit mentioned. Willie Parker will get the ball early and often.

Having said that my book is only offering -4.5 at -125 for the entire game, so I'm taking:

Pittsburgh -3 even 1st half

[calmB4storm]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I just got +5 at bodog

[/ QUOTE ]

got to love the bodog

Pinny has it +4 -101 and they hang +5 -110...nice edge there for a NFL game

[/ QUOTE ]
Are you assuming Pinny is efficient? Yep, nice -1.1% edge.

[MyTurn2Raise]

I don't assume anything is efficient--I LOL at the whole concept of efficient gambling markets

I am saying for a sportsbook to be that far from Pinny on an NFL game is a nice bonus when I'm looking to bet that side

[iggymcfly]

Bah, couldn't get money moved to Matchbook before kickoff, so I'm stuck taking +4(-105) at WSEX. Not exactly a bad line, but I would have rather had +3.5(+113).

[calmB4storm]

[ QUOTE ]
I am saying for a sportsbook to be that far from Pinny on an NFL game is a nice bonus when I'm looking to bet that side

[/ QUOTE ]
And I'm saying you saved 5 cents in vig. Not exactly "that far from Pinny".

[psuasskicker]

LOL at how most of the people in a BSP thread are on the BSP!

Den +5, yum! Pitt sure looks dominating so far!!!

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