@@@ Official Saturday CFB Thread @@@

[Austiger]

This is what I added yesterday. Not sure how I feel about the Mike Hart situation.

S Carolina -13.5 -110
UVA +4.5 -110
Michigan PK -110
Tennessee PK -110

[Austiger]

Adding Memphis PK -110(from the other thread) and Michigan State +19 -107.

[Austiger]

Mississippi State +1715 @ WVU to win 3 units.

This is a no-brainer for me after what has happened this year, especially with the USF/MSU over Auburn connection and USF already having beaten WVU.

[pirateboy]

Went 2-0 last night, so a good start.

My Saturday plays so far:

Illinois +3
Auburn +11
Michigan State +16.5 (should I add more at 19 or ride it out as is?)
Missouri -3.5
Vanderbilt +13.5
Miami +6
Virginia +4.5
NC State +5.5
Vandy/S. Caro U45
Virginia/Maryland O41

I have a tough time knowing when to add units when a line moves in my favor. For example, I got Michigan State on Sunday at 16.5, but because of Bobbo, it's now 18.5. When this happens, do you basically tell yourself "Oh well, I guess I was wrong" and hope you cover, or do you foam at the mouth and say "HELL YES!" while adding another unit?

And will a UCLA/Cal line ever be out?

[pirateboy]

[ QUOTE ]
Mississippi State +1715 @ WVU to win 3 units.

This is a no-brainer for me after what has happened this year, especially with the USF/MSU over Auburn connection and USF already having beaten WVU.

[/ QUOTE ]

Meh. Never hate the play on a big dog, but you'd need +2084 to make it a break even play.

[Austiger]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Mississippi State +1715 @ WVU to win 3 units.

This is a no-brainer for me after what has happened this year, especially with the USF/MSU over Auburn connection and USF already having beaten WVU.

[/ QUOTE ]

Meh. Never hate the play on a big dog, but you'd need +2084 to make it a break even play.

[/ QUOTE ]

Where did you come up with that number? (FWIW you can get WVU -1800 at Bookmaker if you want it.)

[pirateboy]

There was a great post at sbrforum with the winning % of both home and road dogs from 1985 to now. Road dogs from +21-+26.5 win 4.6% of the time, thus needing +2084 to make it break even.

I'm considering adding some $ to my bankroll to experiment with it. Basically, I'd put 1 unit on ever ML dog edge I find every week (this week there are like 25), but I haven't added the new bankroll mobnies.

[Austiger]

That's great information to have. Do you have a link by chance?

Nevermind, found it. It's like the 2nd post on the front page right now.

[pirateboy]

I printed off the table of the home dogs and road dogs and will update it every week. I'm stoked about starting the ML dog edge experiment next week.

[MAC-N-TODD]

Has there been a decision on the Hart situation?