200PLO: Riverbet with non-nut boat?

[TimberBee]

No specific reads on villain. Do you bet, and what amount?

Poker Stars
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $128
Hero: $210.60
CO: $340.75
Button: $196
SB: $340.95
BB: $56.25

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG+1 with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $6</font>, 2 folds, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($18, 3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $14</font>, SB calls, BB calls.

Turn: 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($60, 3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $50</font>, SB calls, BB folds.

River: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($160, 2 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets ???</font>

[sc000t]

Bets $85.

[FireStorm]

You can safely bet here, he doesn't have Aces full. Problem is, there may be little value in betting, b/c he's folding underfulls unless he sucks, and a lot of his range consists of missed spades. Still, I'm stupid, so $90 seems good, maybe 44 looks you up here.

[TimberBee]

Lol, I bet 85$. I must have some clue after all??

Call a push obv?

[pete fabrizio]

[ QUOTE ]
You can safely bet here, he doesn't have Aces full. Problem is, there may be little value in betting, b/c he's folding underfulls unless he sucks, and a lot of his range consists of missed spades. Still, I'm stupid, so $90 seems good, maybe 44 looks you up here.

[/ QUOTE ]

If his calling/raising range here is 4's full and aces full only, then this would be a terrible river bet. You need him to sometimes call you with a bluff catcher to make this bet profitable.

[Ribbo]

That looks such a drawy flop that the only hands fighting with you on that flop are the nut flush draw, the KQT hand or a big ace.
It's possible that he has an ace plus a flush draw, or maybe AKQT that will pay you off. But I see that he must either have no pair or a house here. Maybe pocket fours, AJ does fit though.
I likely check behind with no read, I don't see myself getting paid off.

[alavet]

nono
check it

[CrushinFelt]

[ QUOTE ]
nono
check it

[/ QUOTE ]

weren't you the guy who wanted to raise with the nut flush on a paried board, and now you want to check with a full house on a paired board?

[Aisthesis]

With no reads, I think I'd probably check behind. If he's a little bit cally, you can bet and get a call out of AK (or I suppose 44, which just seems pretty unlikely to me). The main reason for checking behind is that the draws here obviously fold 100%, but there are a significant number of hands that beat you that will also call (A4). I do think he had a draw here the majority of the time, but it's the rest of the time that worries me.

[iggymcfly]

I'd bet $60. It's pretty thin, b/c the only hand you're likely to get called by that you beat is a draw with an ace that made trips, but I think there's still a little bit of value to be had.