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#1
08-14-2007, 04:16 PM
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Re: Blind battle
[ QUOTE ]
Pre-flop is fine with his deep stack. Flop is fine since AQs+ is in his range. 4 AQs, 4 AKs, 16 AKo... 24 combos... vs 18 combos of QQ+. He could be 3-betting lighter than that, but that's tough to know without a read. His check on the turn could mean that you're ahead, but I'd probably check through it, too. I'd hate to have to fold to a c/r on the turn, and I would fold if c/r'ed. River bet looks good... small enough to look like a probe.. might entice him into a raise if he's got AA/KK. I'd call his push and 4-bet push if he does something weird like min-raise. If he's got 99 oh well... he lucked out that the cards gave you a hand to go broke with. [/ QUOTE ] I'm a nit, but the 16 AKo is actually 12 AKo, because you have double counted the 4 AKs. Right? This makes things somewhat closer in the calculations. 
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#2
08-14-2007, 04:21 PM
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Re: Blind battle
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Pre-flop is fine with his deep stack. Flop is fine since AQs+ is in his range. 4 AQs, 4 AKs, 16 AKo... 24 combos... vs 18 combos of QQ+. He could be 3-betting lighter than that, but that's tough to know without a read. His check on the turn could mean that you're ahead, but I'd probably check through it, too. I'd hate to have to fold to a c/r on the turn, and I would fold if c/r'ed. River bet looks good... small enough to look like a probe.. might entice him into a raise if he's got AA/KK. I'd call his push and 4-bet push if he does something weird like min-raise. If he's got 99 oh well... he lucked out that the cards gave you a hand to go broke with. [/ QUOTE ] I'm a nit, but the 16 AKo is actually 12 AKo, because you have double counted the 4 AKs. Right? This makes things somewhat closer in the calculations. [/ QUOTE ] AJo is in his range as well. [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]
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