ufc 72 + 73 on bodog

[beboppoker]

Lines are open at bodog:

Rich Franklin -200
Yushin Okami +160

Phil Baroni -135
Frank Shamrock +105

BJ Penn -450
Jens Pulver +300

Aderson Silva -165
Nate Marquardt +135

Sean Sherk -205
Hermes Franca +165

Tito Ortiz -135
Rashad Evans +105

Tito Line looks really good to me. Thoughts?

Rich Franklin line also looks good. They say rich has a standup advantage. They make it sound like yushin is better on the ground, which I dont believe is the case. Rich's ground and pound look MUCH more devastating than yushins.

[68Mustang]

Take Evans.

[ehafner]

Anderson Silva at -165 is a ton of EV imo. Moderate EV with Hermes Franca. The rest seems about right.

[MikeyPatriot]

[ QUOTE ]
Take Evans.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is the only one that looks good to me.

[beboppoker]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Take Evans.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is the only one that looks good to me.

[/ QUOTE ]

Looks like I lost money on tito from you guys are saying. Why does everyone think this?

Tito just came off of a title fight. He got his ass kick, no doubt. But his ground and pound is good IMO and so is his conditioning. I missed the Evans vs Stephen fight (maybe that is a huge piece of information). Evans isnt even close to a title shot and he looked horrible throughout the TUF. I saw the brad imes fight and brad sucked. I think I saw his last fight where he finished with a head kick. I think tito has fought way harder fights and should be more than a -135 fav.

I dont know how deep anderson silvas game is. Hes a hell of a striker and his clinch is crazy. I also have no idea who nate is at all...sounds familiar (was he on TUF?)

[milesdyson]

bebo,

you need to see rashad's last two fights. judging him for the way he fought in the ultimate fighter series is a joke. i agree with everyone else. i think he should be a slight favorite in this fight.

[loveminuszero]

Correct picks:

Okami

Baroni

Pulver only because he's such a dog. Still think BJ will
win but you can't pass up +300.

Marquardt, Anderson's ground game is terrible. Nate
will control him on the ground and grind out a decision.

Sherk's too strong for Franca.

Evans, but this is a tough one. I wouldn't bet on it, it's
too close.

[Aicirt]

Yes, Tito's gnp is good, but Evans' wrestling is much better than Tito's. I really like Evans here as I feel this is just a bad match up for Tito.

The question for me is when to bet it. The line has already moved slightly in Tito's favor. Will it continue to do so? Speculating line movements is something that I havent not gotten a grasp of yet.

[bigalt]

how much cooler would tennis be if the players had pre-match interviews where they talked smack about how weak the other guy's game was and how they're going to go for pegs?

[igetbadbeat]

No value in Silva @ -165 IMO
No value in Hermes Franca @ +170

Take Marquart @ +150 and up
Take Rashad @ anything better than -110
I acdtually posted a write up but 2+2 didn't feel like complying.