50NL: Hero faces bizarre river overbet with KK

[Chomp]

Odd numbers on villain: 15/6/2/300 hands...but a bet river percentage of 47%. I mean, that is twice a neutral number.

..................................................

Did villain miss his turn c/r and is desperate for value now? Did he get lucky on turn? Is he bluffing?

My eyes were transfixed on his bet river percentage as I thought about it. I kept thinking: "He bets half the flops he gets to".

Everyone ok with turn check?

And anyone wanna talk about merging ranges? lol


Thanks.

..................................................

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

Hero ($80.20)
SB ($27.64)
BB ($74.82)
UTG ($47.59)
MP ($56.60)
<font color="#C00000">CO ($88)</font>

Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $2</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $6</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls $4.

Flop: ($12.75) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
CO checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $9</font>, CO calls $9.

Turn: ($30.75) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
CO checks, Hero checks.

River: ($30.75) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">CO bets $50</font>, Hero goddmit...

[Perk76]

Hero folds and wonders what a turn bet woulda induced. I think given the stats on villan that 99/JJ definately here the vast majority of the time.

Whats odd is the post flop aggression is only a 2.00. That makes this look strong. I dont think you see AK/AQ/QQ to warrant a call...IMO....I fold.

[monkover]

Imo your turn check is perfect... I would have played it the same way and folded the river. but the 47% bet river percentage seems odd, i can´t really make any sense of it...

[Chomp]

Sorry, above sentence should read "He bets half the rivers he gets to".

[netstorm]

Turn check is debatable. However, I think with your turn check you've induced a bluff, as your hand screams AK / AQ, no? Having said that, you are still behind his range on the river unfortunately.

Merging ranges in this hand is useless IMO, since he called a 3bet OOP.

(I really think he had JJ here and missed his river c/r)

wow... I actually changed my mind while typing this post, lol