bellagio Cup ME, can I bluff on this river?

PhatPots · #1 07-11-2007, 02:30 AM

ME at Bellagio Cup, Hero is sitting with about 24,000 chips

Right now my image is pretty tagish

UTG is really big guy. Probably about 500 lbs (Not exaggerating here). He is pretty loose preflop and postflop.

UTG+1 is a middle aged guy, a thinking player who has been pretty aggressive, he is a bit laggy. He has played back at me a few times.

UTG has about 11,500 to start the hand
UTG+1 has just a little bit less than me, 22,000

blinds are 100/200

Preflop: Hero has A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] in the Sb
UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, Mp2 calls, Hero raises to 1,400, BB folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Mp1 folds, Mp2 folds

Flop (3 players): 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Hero bets 2,500, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls

Turn: 3 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Hero checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 checks

River: K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Hero bets 5,000

Comments please
When I bet 5,000 UTG has only 7,500 remaining.

What do you put on UTG+1 on with his call on the flop and check on the turn, besides him flopping a set of 5s? I would think he would bet the turn unless he has a flush draw.

I kept thinking I would be able to fold a smaller pair, because they had to put me on a bigger pair, or AK (because everyone always thinks it has to be AK).

curtains · #2 07-11-2007, 02:32 AM

Seems like a very reasonable river bet to me, I would probably do it too.

nath · #3 07-11-2007, 03:13 AM

I kinda like it, but I probably bet more at each opportunity

TCA · #4 07-11-2007, 03:30 AM

I would really prefer it against one opponent, I think alot of mid pairs would fold but I also think they are probably betting that turn as well.

I think any flush draw with a K will probably look you up though and this seems pretty likely the way the hand played out.

THEOSU · #5 07-11-2007, 05:37 AM

yeah, it's a reasonable river bet, but as TCA said the Ks is always calling.

KUSH · #6 07-11-2007, 09:31 AM

this is the worst river bet ever and anyone saying that it's good is [censored] terrible (sry curtains i know ur a smart guy)

curtains · #7 07-11-2007, 07:05 PM

Ok, but they can't call....they are going to be extremely hardpressed to call with anything that isn't a big hand, and theres no reason any of them should have a king. It's a completely logical bet that represents something that you could very easily have given the action. Don't see why it's so bad.

Also I see no reason why someone should have a king of spades. Also we are getting very good odds on the bluff, I'm lazy but seems like the pot is like 12.5k and we are betting 5k.

Cornell Fiji · #8 07-11-2007, 07:34 PM

Good bet for the reasons curtains outlined in his previous reply.

Look at Kush's previous posts and ask yourself if you should ever respect his opinion.

bigbabyjesus · #9 07-11-2007, 09:55 PM

LOL @ the big guy.. I saw him yesterday as well. He is just effing huuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuge.

PhatPots · #10 07-11-2007, 11:43 PM

[ QUOTE ]
LOL @ the big guy.. I saw him yesterday as well. He is just effing huuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuge.

[/ QUOTE ]

There was an attractive Red head at my table and he was saying things like "your pretty" , etc. Then he busted. After he busted I wanted to start teasing her about it. (e.g. "He told me to give you his room number") I didn't cause I thought it might be in bad taste. I kinda felt bad for him