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#31
11-04-2007, 10:19 AM
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Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
Tom Brady - total QB rating
under 130.2 -120 As disgustingly good as Brady has been this year, he's still only exceeded that number in 3 out of 8 games. In the previous 4 seasons, he had 1 game out of 64 with higher than a 130.2 rating. The Colts have a QB rating against of 69.9, 3rd best in the league. Also they have Brady to throw an interception at -115. If he throws even one, it's nearly impossible to have a QB rating over 130. 
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#32
11-04-2007, 10:52 AM
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Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
[ QUOTE ]
Tom Brady - total QB rating under 130.2 -120 As disgustingly good as Brady has been this year, he's still only exceeded that number in 3 out of 8 games. In the previous 4 seasons, he had 1 game out of 64 with higher than a 130.2 rating. The Colts have a QB rating against of 69.9, 3rd best in the league. Also they have Brady to throw an interception at -115. If he throws even one, it's nearly impossible to have a QB rating over 130. [/ QUOTE ] this seems like a really good bet to me.
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#33
11-04-2007, 10:52 AM
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Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
Nice. On the Brady passer rating prop for 2 units. I have him projected for a rating of around 113. Even if he doesn't throw a pick, given my other projections he would finish around 122.
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#34
11-04-2007, 10:57 AM
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Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
[ QUOTE ]
Tom Brady - total QB rating under 130.2 -120 As disgustingly good as Brady has been this year, he's still only exceeded that number in 3 out of 8 games. In the previous 4 seasons, he had 1 game out of 64 with higher than a 130.2 rating. The Colts have a QB rating against of 69.9, 3rd best in the league. [/ QUOTE ] Nice find. I hit it for the max. This prop has got to be very high +EV.
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#35
11-04-2007, 11:00 AM
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Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Tom Brady - total QB rating under 130.2 -120 As disgustingly good as Brady has been this year, he's still only exceeded that number in 3 out of 8 games. In the previous 4 seasons, he had 1 game out of 64 with higher than a 130.2 rating. The Colts have a QB rating against of 69.9, 3rd best in the league. [/ QUOTE ] Nice find. I hit it for the max. This prop has got to be very high +EV. [/ QUOTE ] heh they just closed it.
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#36
11-04-2007, 11:00 AM
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Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
Yeah, I just added what was left of my Bodog balance on that bet, so I have a total of about 2.8u on it. Just realized I have over 14u on various bets in this game, go Colts! Not counting my bridge-jumper "team won't go 19-0" bets, one of which will pay off this week, freeing up some bankroll.
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#38
11-04-2007, 11:10 AM
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Re: NFL Week 9 player props thread
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Nice find. I hit it for the max. This prop has got to be very high +EV. [/ QUOTE ] Awesome, glad at least some of you were able to get it before they took it down. [/ QUOTE ] btw - sorry if this is off topic, but since I take advantage of this thread I thought I would throw something back. If anyone wants a free $25 there is an arb that has been hanging for awhile. Cincy/ Buffalo 4th quarter betjamaica 10.5o +105 5dimes 10.5u +105
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